At last, is this the turning point for the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price has plunged by over 40% in the last 12 months. But a positive trading update has sent the shares shooting upwards at last.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Mindful young woman breathing out with closed eyes, calming down in stressful situation, working on computer in modern kitchen.

Image source: Getty Images

The past year has been pretty unpleasant for shareholders of Vodafone Group (LSE: VOD), including my family. The Vodafone share price has pretty much been in freefall since late February, losing more than a quarter of its value in five months.

Vodafone’s share price slumps

At their 52-week high, Vodafone shares peaked at 129.34p on 25 July 2022 — exactly a year ago. Since then, it’s been a torrid tale of trips and tumbles as the share price kept sliding.

Here’s how this popular and widely held FTSE 100 stock has performed over seven different timescales, based on the current share price of 75.78p:

One day-1.0%
Five days+4.7%
One month+8.2%
Year to date-10.2%
Six months-17.9%
One year-41.3%
Five years-57.9%

Although Vodafone stock has staged something of a comeback over the last fortnight, its longer-term direction has been steeply downwards. Indeed, the shares have crashed by two-fifths in the past 12 months, while losing close to three-fifths of their value in half a decade.

For the record, my wife bought Vodafone shares for our family portfolio in early December last year. She paid an all-in price of 90.2p per share, so we’re sitting on a paper loss of 16% today. Oops.

Is this tanker set to turn?

The good news for Vodafone’s long-suffering owners is that its share price has recently taken a turn for the better. At its 52-week low, it plunged to 69.73p on 11 July. Two weeks later, the stock has bounced by 8.7% from this bottom.

The latest price bump came on Monday, 24 July, when the telecoms giant released its latest trading update. At long last, this announcement contained good news, with Vodafone reporting decent organic/adjusted growth within its sprawling global operations.

Overall, total revenue in the first quarter was up 4.8% year on year, with adjusted growth coming in at 3.7%. The star performer was the UK market, which recorded growth of 5.7% following inflation-plus price rises this spring. Also, revenue declined at slower rates in Germany, Italy and Spain.

Of course, as the old saying goes, one swallow does not a summer make. Even so, it’s good to see Vodafone reporting positive, broad-based results under its new CEO Margherita Della Valle. Also, her former role as CFO will be filled by Luka Mucic from 1 September.

Would I buy Vodafone today?

If things really are on the turn for the telecoms firm, then its shares appear undervalued to me today. They trade on a modest multiple of 7.7 times earnings, for an earnings yield of 12.9%. However, the bumper dividend yield of 10.5% a year is covered only 1.2 times by earnings, leaving little room for error.

We won’t be adding to our Vodafone holding any time soon. First, because we already own this battered stock. Second, because I don’t have any spare cash to invest right now. Nevertheless, I’m hopeful that after five years of pain, the next five years could be better for Vodafone shareholders!

Cliff D’Arcy has an economic interest in Vodafone Group shares. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Vodafone Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Down 15% and a yield of 7.9%! Is this REIT dividend champion now irresistible?

This real estate investment trust (REIT) has one of the highest dividend yields on the London Stock Market. Royston Wild…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Down 32% and with a P/E of 9.5, is this FTSE 250 share too cheap to ignore?

This FTSE 250 share is in freefall after slashing guidance for this financial year. But Royston Wild eyes a potential…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Growth Shares

Why high oil prices could be good news for Lloyds shares

Jon Smith talks through the implications of elevated oil prices and translates that through to the potential impact on Lloyds'…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Lists of income stocks to buy almost never include this one — but with a forecast 8.2% yield, I think they should!

This FTSE firm, not always seen as an income play, has a forecast yield of 8.2%, underlining why it's one…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Aviva’s share price is down 13% to under £7, despite outstanding 2025 results! Time for me to buy more?

I think Aviva’s share price reflects an outdated view of the business, and that gap between perception and reality is…

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Shell’s £33+ share price is near an all-time high, so why am I going to buy more as soon as possible?

Shell's strong cash generation and improving growth drivers contrast with a share price well below my valuation, suggesting major long‑term…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

An 8.4% forecast yield but down 16%! Time for me to buy more of this FTSE 100 passive income star?

This FTSE 100 passive‑income machine is delivering rising payouts and strong forecasts, and its share price suggests the market hasn’t…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Meta Platforms Stock 5 years ago is now worth…

Meta Platforms has been throwing good money after bad at Reality Labs since 2021, but the stock has more than…

Read more »