The ITV share price has crashed! Should I buy now?

The ITV share price recently collapsed below 100p for the first time since 2020. Is a rebound on the horizon for the FTSE 100 media stock?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a tough few days for investors in ITV (LSE:ITV). After changing hands in triple figures throughout 2021 and the first two months of 2022, the ITV share price dropped in March, taking it to penny stock levels. It saw a sharp decline to almost hit 70p per share on Monday. The FTSE 100 media stock has since regained some of these losses. However, its five-year performance is currently standing just shy of -60%.

Let’s explore whether the recent crash in the ITV share price represents a good buying opportunity for me. 

Solid financial results  

The plummeting ITV share price overshadows a strong set of full-year financial results for the UK’s second-largest broadcaster. ITV delivered total external revenue growth of 24% and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) growth of 40% in 2021. Advertising revenue of £1.96bn was a record high for the company and operating profits were up 46% to £519m. 

The board proposed a final dividend of 3.3p per share, in line with previous guidance. Furthermore, ITV announced impressive cost savings and a reduction in the company’s net debt from £545m to £414m.

It’s notable that ITV’s leadership team decided to buy shares this week at under 80p per share, with a total value of just under £300,000. This gives me some confidence in the bullish case for ITV stock at its current price. 

Investors spooked by streaming plans 

Why did ITV’s share price crash though, making it one of the biggest FTSE 100 fallers in recent days? In short, the answer can be found in the company’s spending plans “to supercharge [its] streaming business”, in the words of Chief Executive, Carolyn McCall.

Investment in its digital-first content budget will exceed previous forecasts at £1.23bn for 2022, rising to £1.35bn in 2023. Much of this is due to the launch of ITVX, a subscription-based streaming platform, in Q4 2022. 

There’s logic to this decision. Streaming viewing hours for its media and entertainment business were up by 22% on the year. Revenue for ITV Studios from streaming platforms climbed to 13% of the total for 2021 from 10% in 2020. 

However, many analysts are sceptical of the firm’s ability to compete with US giants that have a big presence in the streaming sector, such as Netflix, Amazon, and Disney. Several streaming companies saw their share prices rally during the pandemic as they benefited from the ‘stay at home’ effect. It appears ITV wants to take advantage of this trend. 

Whether demand for streaming will continue to rise as consumers revert to their pre-pandemic habits is a concern for investors as the broadcaster expands into a potentially saturated market. Bears will argue its spending plans are misfocussed and margins will be tight in the notoriously cash-intensive world of streaming.  

Should I buy ITV shares now? 

While I believe concerns about ITV’s future plans and stiff competition it faces have some merit, the stock looks oversold to me at present. The company currently trades at a modest P/E ratio of 8.7 and its recent financial results bode well for the future, I feel. 

With popular shows in its portfolio, such as Love Island and I’m a Celebrity, ITV seems well placed to make ripples in the digital content sector. Other parts of the broadcaster’s business appear to be in a healthy shape. Accordingly, I see the current share price as a good long-term buying opportunity for me. 

Charlie Carman does not own any shares in the companies mentioned in this article. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Amazon and ITV. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Mindful young woman breathing out with closed eyes, calming down in stressful situation, working on computer in modern kitchen.
Investing Articles

Be greedy when others are fearful: 2 shares to consider buying right now

Warren Buffett says investors should be greedy when others are fearful. So do falling prices mean it’s time to buy…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Is Palantir still a millionaire-maker S&P 500 stock today?

Palantir has skyrocketed in recent years, making savvy investors a fortune. With the S&P 500 stock down 32% since November,…

Read more »

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

Pennies from an all-time low, is the Aston Martin share price poised to rebound?

How can a business with a great brand and rich customer base keep losing money? Christopher Ruane examines the conundrum…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

With spare cash to invest, does it make more sense to use a SIPP or an ISA?

ISA or SIPP? That's the dilemma this writer faces when trying to decide how to buy shares. So, what sort…

Read more »

Group of friends meet up in a pub
Investing Articles

Are barnstorming Barclays shares still a slam-dunk buy?

Barclays shares have had a blockbuster run but Harvey Jones now questions just how long the FTSE 100 bank can…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

5 steps to target a £5,000 second income

What would it really take to earn a second income of hundreds of pounds per month from dividend shares? Christopher…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Is it madness to bet against the Rolls-Royce share price?

Harvey Jones wonders if the Rolls-Royce share price has flown too high, and it's finally time for investors to stand…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

A once-in-a-decade opportunity to buy quality UK shares?

As some of the UK’s top shares of the last 10 years fall to record low multiples, is this the…

Read more »