Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

Is the BAE share price about to take off?

The BAE share price could be a safe harbour in stormy waters, says Rupert Hargreaves, who would buy the stock for his portfolio today.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

When it comes to FTSE 100 stocks, I think the BAE (LSE: BA) share price stands out for its incredibly unique qualities. 

The global defence contractor is a one-of-a-kind in the UK market. It is the country’s largest defence company, and it has a global footprint with operations spanning as far as Australia. The company also has several other unique qualities that could help it outperform in an uncertain economic environment. 

BAE share price advantages

The defence industry is far more defensive than other sectors. Its primary customer tends to be the government, which has deep pockets and can sign multi-year contracts. Governments are the only real customers these companies can sign deals with in most situations. 

Unfortunately, this sector is also highly regulated. This means corporations like BAE do not have much flexibility in finding customers and signing international agreements. They have to follow many rules and regulations, and breaking these can result in severe financial penalties. 

Despite this challenge, the group’s defensive nature suggests the BAE share price could outperform the market as economic uncertainty builds.

According to the company’s latest update, its order backlog for the next few years stands at over £40bn, which locks in around two years of revenue for the group. The organisation is always looking for new opportunities, suggesting this backlog will only continue to expand in the years ahead.

BAE also has an advantage when it comes to technology. The company has developed some of the most advanced tech globally for the defence industry. This gives it a solid competitive advantage. 

Uncertainty grows

These advantages are just some of the reasons why I think the BAE share price could take off over the next few years. Governments worldwide are ramping up military spending, and one of the primary beneficiaries of this spending will be defence contractors. 

As one of the largest defence contractors in the world, with its portfolio of unique technologies, I think BAE will almost certainly benefit from this increased spending. The company is already returning significant amounts of cash to investors.

It has been repurchasing shares, and the stock currently offers a dividend yield of 4%. Considering the outlook for the organisation, I think it is likely management will continue to increase the dividend payout and other shareholder returns in the years ahead. 

Of course, dividend growth is far from guaranteed. If BAE finds itself on the wrong side of regulators and politicians, the company’s outlook could change overnight. This is something I will be keeping an eye on as we advance. 

Nevertheless, as the outlook for the global economy and geopolitical environment becomes more uncertain, I believe BAE can provide a safe harbour in stormy waters.

Considering its defensive nature and current dividend yield, I would buy the stock for my portfolio today. I cannot guarantee that the shares are about to take off. But I think there is a good chance they could outperform as uncertainty builds.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

Want to start investing in 2026? 3 things to get ready now!

Before someone is ready to start investing in the stock market, our writer reckons it could well be worth them…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can the stock market continue its strong performance into 2026?

Will the stock market power ahead next year -- or could its recent strong run come crashing down? Christopher Ruane…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Here’s how someone could invest £20k in an ISA to target a 7% dividend yield in 2026

Is 7% a realistic target dividend yield for a Stocks and Shares ISA? Christopher Ruane reckons that it could be.…

Read more »

A quiet morning and an empty Victoria Street in Edinburgh's historic Old Town.
Investing Articles

How little is £1k invested in Greggs shares in January worth now?

Just how much value have Greggs shares lost this year -- and why has our writer been putting his money…

Read more »

Businessman using pen drawing line for increasing arrow from 2024 to 2025
Investing Articles

This cheap FTSE 100 stock outperformed Barclays, IAG, and Games Workshop shares in 2025 but no one’s talking about it

This FTSE stock has delivered fantastic gains in 2025, outperforming a lot of more popular shares. Yet going into 2026,…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

100 Lloyds shares cost £55 in January. Here’s what they’re worth now!

How well have Lloyds shares done in 2025? Very well is the answer, as our writer explains. But they still…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to target £2,000 a month of passive income

Our writer explores a passive income strategy that involves the most boring FTSE 100 share. But when it comes to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in a FTSE 250 index tracker at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Despite underperforming the FTSE 100, the FTSE 250 has been the place to find some of the UK’s top growth…

Read more »