UK shares: 1 stock to buy and 1 to avoid

Jabran Khan details two UK shares and confirms which one he would buy and which one he would avoid for his portfolio right now.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I am always looking for the best UK shares to bolster my portfolio. I have recently identified one stock I would consider adding to my portfolio and one I would avoid.

FTSE 250 soft drinks manufacturer

Britvic (LSE:BVIC) is one stock I would seriously consider for my portfolio now. The branded soft drinks producer is one of the biggest players in the UK market. In addition to the UK, it also has global reach with operations in Ireland, France, and Brazil. Some of the brands it produces and sells are Tango, J20, and Robinsons. Britvic also has an exclusive and lucrative agreement with soft drinks giant PepsiCo.

As I write, shares in Britvic are trading for 859p per share. This time last year shares were trading for 761p per share, which is a 12% return. Most of the UK shares I currently like would have offered me a nice return if I had invested a year ago.

Despite my bullish stance towards Britvic, I have to admit the pandemic caused a dip in performance. Full-year results to September 2020 saw revenue fall and the dividend cut by over 20%. Britvic was still able to increase profits, however. This helped it to pay a dividend when many other UK shares suspended them.

Analyst forecasts support my bullish attitude. I understand forecasts may not come to fruition, but Britvic has an excellent track record, a robust balance sheet, and a great growth record too. Analysts believe that earnings will increase by over 25% for the current full trading year compared to last year and the share price will increase too. In addition, it is believed that the dividend will rise to pre-pandemic levels. UK shares that make me a passive income are very tempting.

Although I would add Britvic shares to my portfolio, I must consider some credible risks. The haulage crisis in the UK could affect operations and finances. In addition, Brexit pressures could also play a part. The rising costs of raw materials could affect the bottom line as well.

Holiday operator to recover?

FTSE 250 incumbent TUI (LSE:TUI) is one UK share I will avoid. The German multinational travel and tourism firm is recognised as one of the largest in the world. 

With the economic reopening in full swing, could this depleted stock recover? I don’t think so. As I write, TUI shares are trading for 270p per share. A year ago shares were trading for 241p. Despite this increase across a 12-month period, the TUI share price has been on a downward trajectory for some time.

The reason I am bearish towards TUI is due to a few factors. Firstly, TUI’s operations have relatively fixed costs, which means profit is harder to come by. Next, when the pandemic struck, TUI had to borrow to keep the lights on and its debt level is concerning. Finally, the Covid-19 virus has not disappeared. Further travel restrictions could hinder any recovery.

Recent Q4 results were encouraging. TUI reported an increase in customer bookings compared to last year and future bookings look healthier too. It also completed a further capital increase of €1.1bn, which will help steady the ship. 

Overall I do think the worst could be over for TUI but I will still avoid buying shares right now. I believe there are better UK shares out there.

Jabran Khan has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Britvic. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

ISA coins
Investing Articles

Could an ISA be a good way to start investing?

Might an ISA be a suitable platform for someone who wants to start investing? Our writer explains a key reason…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

2 top growth stocks to consider for an ISA in April

The UK market is home to some fantastic under-the-radar growth stocks trading at very reasonable valuations. Here are two of…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Could thinking like Warren Buffett help create a market-beating ISA?

Christopher Ruane zooms in on some aspects of Warren Buffett's investing approach he thinks could help an ambitious ISA investor…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in a FTSE 100 index tracker at the start of March is now worth…

Anyone who invested money in a FTSE 100 index tracker at the start of the month may wish to look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Should investors consider Rolls-Royce shares as war rocks global markets?

Investors who thought Rolls-Royce shares had grown too expensive might have second thoughts as Iran turmoil rattles the FTSE 100,…

Read more »

Young black woman walking in Central London for shopping
Investing Articles

Some lucky ISA investors could pick up £2,000 for free in the next month. Here’s how

The UK government is handing out free money to some ISA investors to help them save for retirement. Here’s a…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Is this the best time to buy dividend shares since Covid-19?

A volatile stock market gives investors a chance to buy shares with unusually high dividend yields. Stephen Wright highlights one…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Are we staring at a once-in-a-decade chance to buy this beaten-down UK growth stock?

Investors couldn't get enough of this FTSE 100 growth stock, but the last 10 years have been pretty frustrating. Could…

Read more »