Why I think the HSBC share price is undervalued

The HSBC share price looks cheap compared to the company’s long-term potential as it concentrates on its most profitable markets.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn

Image source: Getty Images

The HSBC (LSE: HSBA) share price used to be one of the most popular stocks in the FTSE 100. Unfortunately, over the past few years, the company has made many missteps, which has hurt investor sentiment towards the business.

However, after the stock’s recent performance, I think there’s a great opportunity here for long-term investors, such as myself. At current prices, I believe shares in the lender are deeply undervalued. 

Therefore, I’ve been reviewing the business recently to see if it could be worth acquiring some shares in the bank to add to my portfolio. 

HSBC share price challenges

I think it’s fair to say that HSBC has been struggling for direction over the past decade.

Throughout the 2000s, the lender embarked on an ambitious expansion programme, aiming to become the world’s local bank. Then the financial crisis slammed into its dreams. In the years after, management started to streamline the business and move away from its aggressive global expansion policy.

As well as this change of direction, the group was also faced with new regulations, a string of fines, and legal actions. One example, in 2012, the bank was fined $1.9bn for failing to prevent Mexican drug cartels from laundering hundreds of millions of dollars.

Facing multiple headwinds, HSBC began slimming down. This process has accelerated over the past three years. The bank is exiting non-core markets such as France and the US and focusing its efforts on Hong Kong and China. These have always been profit centres for the group. Management is also culling 35,000 jobs. 

Going forward, the bank is going to be smaller and leaner. I think it will also be more profitable. HSBC’s global network was previously a competitive advantage. This hasn’t worked. In my opinion, it doesn’t make much sense to keep losing money just to maintain the brand’s global status.

Instead, I think the bank can be far more successful concentrating on its favourite markets while maintaining a few international outposts. 

Undervalued equity

Considering all of the above, I think the HSBC share price is undervalued. By removing loss-making businesses and focusing on its most profitable divisions, I think profits should increase in the years ahead.

On that basis, I don’t believe the stock deserves to trade at a discount to book value. Today, it’s trading as a price to book value of 0.7. That looks too cheap to me. 

Of course, the bank may face additional challenges in the future, which could cause further problems. Another coronavirus wave, for example, may incur significant losses. Further fines and penalties may also restrict the group’s ability to do business in certain markets.

Lower interest rates are also causing problems across the financial sector. If interest rates fall below 0%, HSBC’s income may drop significantly. 

Still, even after taking these risks into account, I think the HSBC share price is undervalued. As such, I’d buy shares in the bank for my portfolio as a long-term investment.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

Meet the FTSE 100’s newest bank stock

This FTSE 250 stock has skyrocketed nearly 900% over the past 60 months, earning it a place in the prestigious…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Shell shares 1 month ago is worth now

Harvey Jones looks at how Shell shares have fared over the past month and more importantly, what the long-term outlook…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

At its lowest level since July, here’s why I think the IAG share price is dead cheap

Jon Smith explains why the IAG share price has fallen over the past week but talks through the reasons why…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price rise 43% or 97% by this time next year?

City analysts believe easyJet's share price might almost double over the next year. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

More great news for Rolls-Royce shares!

Rolls-Royce shares got a boost this week after some intriguing developments in the process of creating Europe's new fighter aircraft.

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Persimmon’s share price surges 7% on double boost! Can it keep rising?

Persimmon's share price is surging, up 11% at one point earlier on Tuesday. Could this be the start of a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »