The Avacta share price has exploded in the past year. Here’s what I’m doing now

Jabran Khan details why the FTSE AIM-listed Avacta share price has exploded in the past 12 months and what he is doing now as a result.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Avacta (LSE:AVCT) is a pharmaceutical firm trying to combat the Covid-19 pandemic. The Avacta share price has exploded in the past 12 months. Based on this rise, I want to know if the FTSE AIM-listed share is a good investment for my portfolio.

Avacta share price rise

Avacta is a small biotech firm with two core proprietary platforms. Due to its size, it often partners up with larger, better known pharma giants who need its proprietary platforms.

One of Avacta’s Covid-19-related partnerships is with Cytiva. Avacta has also recently signed a distribution agreement with Medusa Ltd for direct-to-consumer sales of its Covid-19-related products.

Last March, the Avacta share price was trading for close to 20p per share. As I write, shares are currently trading for close to 240p per share. This is close to a mammoth 1,000% increase! I believe Avacta’s foray into Covid-19-related products have caused its share price to explode and remain higher than pre-Covid-19 levels. 

Recent activity and performance

After Avacta’s initial announcement that it was attempting to produce Covid-19-related testing kits, it has made good progress. August saw it ready for clinical trials. A month later, manufacturing capacity was expanded. And a few short weeks later, it made a research kit available for other pharma firms too.

Just last month, Avacta announced that its preliminary results from trials showed over 96% accuracy in identifying Covid-19 in patients. This is a very high figure that I believe has helped maintain Avacta’s share price at this new higher level compared to last year.

Avacta is now pursuing a full clinical approval to launch within the EMEA region before the end of the first quarter of 2021. The Covid-19 pandemic does not seem to be going away, therefore many millions of tests could be needed over the coming months and perhaps years.

A business update at the end of February highlighted Avacta’s progress for its Covid-19 test kit as well as its other product pipeline. Avacta’s cash position was strengthened in its recent report. FY results are expected next month.

What I’m doing now

The Avacta share price has experienced a positive rise since the pandemic began and markets crashed. I have three issues with the Avacta share price. Firstly, is its high valuation. Forecasted revenue for its full-year ending 2021 compared to its current market cap of £689m reveals a price-to-sales ratio of close to 86 which is too high for me.

Next, if regulatory approval is not received, the Avacta share price could fall back to pre-crash levels and set it back. Finally, competition also makes me feel uneasy about Avacta’s longer-term prospects. There are bigger and more experienced pharmaceutical firms producing their own similar solutions that could trump Avacta’s.

Overall, if I invested in Avacta a year ago, I would be happy right now. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, however. Right now, I cannot justify to myself buying shares in Avacta based on the reasons above but I will keep an eye on developments. Here is a stock I do like right now and I believe it could be a good addition to my portfolio.

Jabran Khan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

As oil prices soar, is it time to buy Shell shares?

Christopher Ruane weighs some pros and cons of adding Shell shares to his ISA -- and explains why the oil…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA for £6,751 passive income a year in 2046?

Let's say an investor wanted a passive income in 20 years' time. How much cash would need be built up…

Read more »

Smiling black woman showing e-ticket on smartphone to white male attendant at airport
Investing Articles

Why isn’t the IAG share price crashing?

Harvey Jones expected the IAG share price to take an absolute beating during current Middle East hostilities. So why is…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Growth Shares

1 UK share I’d consider buying and 1 I’d run away from on this market dip

In light of the recent stock market dip, Jon Smith outlines the various potential outcomes for a couple of different…

Read more »

Burst your bubble thumbtack and balloon background
Investing Articles

AI may look like a bubble. But what about Rolls-Royce shares?

Bubble talk has been centred on some AI stocks lately. But Christopher Ruane sees risks to Rolls-Royce shares in the…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Will the BAE Systems share price soar 13% by this time next year?

BAE Systems' share price continues to surge as the Middle East crisis worsens. Royston Wild asks if the FTSE 100…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Is this a once-in-a-decade chance to bag a 9.9% yield from Taylor Wimpey shares?

Taylor Wimpey shares have been hit by a volatile share price and cuts to the dividend. Harvey Jones holds the…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Way up – or way down? This FTSE 250 share could go either way

Can this FTSE 250 share turn its fortunes around? Or has its day passed? Our writer looks at both sides…

Read more »