Warning! These 3 FTSE 100 shares could fall further in the stock market crash

Rupert Hargreaves explains why it might be sensible for investors to avoid these three FTSE 100 companies until the coronavirus outbreak is over.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Over the past four weeks, shares in some of the most prominent FTSE 100 companies have seen their shares plunge. 

It doesn’t look as if the pressure these businesses are under is going to end any time soon. In fact, for some FTSE 100 companies, it could get worse before it gets better.

FTSE 100 companies to avoid

Ashtead Group (LSE: AHT) is one of the best performing FTSE 100 stocks of the past decade. However, with the UK construction industry effectively shut down, this equipment hire business is almost certainly struggling.

So far, management hasn’t updated the market on Ashtead’s performance over the past few weeks. That’s worrying. Most of its FTSE 100’s peers have provided some insight into how the coronavirus outbreak has hit operations.

On top of this, the stock is currently dealing at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9, compared to the industry average of 8. This projection is based on old forecasts, which suggests it’s now out of date.

With that being the case, it looks as if Ashtead might be on track to announce a significant decline in earnings projections for 2020. If it does, there’s a good chance the stock could drop much further from current levels.

Rising debt

Carnival (LSE: CCL) is the worst-performing FTSE 100 stock this year. The shares have slumped more than 70% since the beginning of the year. It’s easy to see why. Carnival’s whole fleet of cruise ships has been suspended at the cost of $1bn per month.

The company is also facing a wave of lawsuits from angry customers around the world. To offset the pressure on its finances, Carnival has raised billions in debt.

This should help the business keep the lights on for a few months. But with no end in sight to the coronavirus shutdown at this stage, it’s not very easy to tell if the funding will be enough. With so much uncertainty surrounding Carnival’s outlook, it might be better for investors to stay away from the business for the time being.

Even though the shares might look cheap (the stock is dealing at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.2), if the former FTSE 100 dividend champion runs out of money, the stock could drop to zero.

Multiple mistakes

Utilities are supposed to be defensive investments. Unfortunately, Centrica (LSE: CNA) didn’t get the memo. The company has warned on profits in four of the last five years. Now it looks as if the business will also take a big hit from COVID-19.

While the owner of British Gas is in a better position than FTSE 100 companies like Carnival and Ashtead to weather the storm, its track record of failure is concerning. Management is planning further cost-cutting to offset falling demand for its services, but this could threaten Centrica’s already poor customer service record.

Management has also eliminated the group’s dividend for the time being. There’s no telling when the payout will be restored. Considering Centrica’s track record, there’s a good chance management may never be able to reinstate the payout at its previous level.

All of the above suggests it might be best to avoid Centrica. The company has been struggling for the past five years, and it’s highly unlikely the business will able to return to growth any time soon in the current environment.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns Carnival. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Carnival. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

These 3 growth stocks still look dirt cheap despite the FTSE hitting all-time highs

Harvey Jones is hunting for growth stocks that have missed out on the recent FTSE 100 rally and still look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Here’s how much I’d need to invest in UK income stocks to retire on £25k a year

Harvey Jones is building his retirement plans on a portfolio of top UK dividend income stocks. There are some great…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £5,000 in BT shares three months ago here’s what I’d have today

Harvey Jones keeps returning to BT shares, wondering whether he finally has the pluck to buy them. The cheaper they…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a million, by investing £150 a week

Our writer outlines how he’d aim for a million in the stock market through regular saving, disciplined investing, and careful…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how the NatWest dividend could earn me a £1,000 annual passive income!

The NatWest dividend yield is over 5%. So if our writer wanted to earn £1,000 in passive income each year,…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

I’d start buying shares with these 5 questions

Christopher Ruane shares a handful of selection criteria he would use to start buying shares -- or invest for the…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Here’s how much income I’d get if I invested my entire £20k ISA in Tesco shares

Harvey Jones is wondering whether to take the plunge and buy Tesco shares, which offer solid growth prospects and a…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 big-cap stock I’d consider buying with the FTSE 100 around 8,000

With several contenders it’s been a tough choice. But here are my top FTSE 100 stock picks, despite the buoyant…

Read more »