The FTSE 100 has fallen 11% in a week. Here’s my contrarian pick

Here’s a cyclical stock that I believe can hold investors in good stead. 

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s a bad time for stock markets. The coronavirus scare has gripped global markets, leading to a sharp plunge. The FTSE is no exception to this. The FTSE 100 index has fallen by more than 11% in a week, and it might fall even more next week. The unfortunate spread of COVID-19 shows no sign of slowing. It’s easy to think of the worst that can happen at this time, get nervous, and sell off. Or, at the very least, refrain from buying.  

Alternative view 

But consider another perspective. What if the virus were to be contained in the near future? The panicked drop in share prices will look like a time when investments should have been made. Even if markets continue to drop, the fact remains that a number of high-growth and high-dividend stocks are available at huge discounts right now. These stocks have a gravity defying track-record. In other words, there’s limited risk to holding them in our investing portfolio.  

Real estate in focus 

One of these is the FTSE 100 house-builder Persimmon (LSE: PSN), whose share price has fallen by 13.8% since last week. It may sound contrarian to suggest a cyclical stock at a time when economic conditions could take a turn for the worse. But there are three reasons why I still like it.  

One, sure, the stock shows cyclicality in the near term but over the longer term, it’s more likely than not to allow for significant capital gains. Two, it’s one of the only stocks to provide both capital growth and a high passive income. At present, its dividend yield is 8.2%. It also intends to maintain its current level of dividends in the next year at least. With a falling share price, we are essentially looking at potentially even higher yields going forward. Three, UK’s real estate market is picking up, which bodes well for stocks in the sector.  

Not always contrarian 

Outside of real estate, however, I do agree that going contrarian isn’t always the best idea. Last week, I had written about how I’d stay away from financials in the case of a stock market crash. It seemed less likely then, but today I’d start to become more cautious of the sector. 

There are plenty of less contrarian stocks to invest in in any case. Pharmaceuticals and healthcare companies like GlaxoSmithKline and Smith & Nephew are two that I like. Yesterday, I had also written about Diageo, the FTSE 100 alcohol producer, which has been a good investment over the past years. It has warned of the impact on its profits as a result of the virus outbreak, but it’s too soon to say if there will be any longer-term impact on the stock. In this scenario, I’m sticking to Warren Buffett’s advice by getting greedy when others are fearful.       

Manika Premsingh has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended GlaxoSmithKline. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Are Barclays shares trading at a 50% discount?

On some metrics, Barclays shares could be looked at as half price. Is this a fair way to look at…

Read more »

Landlady greets regular at real ale pub
Investing Articles

After toppling 11%, are Wetherspoons shares too cheap to miss?

Wetherspoons shares are sinking after a disappointing trading update on Friday (20 March). Is the FTSE 250 firm now a…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

2 S&P 500 tech titans to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA 

Our writer sees a few blue chips from the S&P 500 that are worth considering for a Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Group of young friends toasting each other with beers in a pub
Investing Articles

JD Wetherspoon’s share price takes a sobering 10% dip!

JD Wetherspoon's share price tanked today (20 March), after the pub chain published its latest results. James Beard reckons it’s…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT when the Taylor Wimpey shares turnaround is coming and it said…

Taylor Wimpey shares have fallen a long way from all-time highs. Might a stunning recovery be on the cards for…

Read more »

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

My JD Wetherspoon shares just fell 12% in a day! Here’s what I’m doing

JD Wetherspoon shares just fell sharply on news of lower profits. But are these short-term challenges or is there a…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Nvidia stock price forecast: could we see $300 in 2026?

Nvidia stock has paused for breath recently. However, Wall Street analysts seem to believe that it’s just a matter of…

Read more »

Older Man Reading From Tablet
Investing Articles

How to shelter a SIPP from a nasty stock market crash

Edward Sheldon outlines some simple strategies that could help SIPP investors protect their wealth against an equity market meltdown.

Read more »