Why I think FTSE 100-member Lloyds’ share price could be worth 100p

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LON: LLOY) could be an undervalued FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) share, in my opinion.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

While the FTSE 100 may have enjoyed a decade-long bull market, a number of its members appear to offer excellent value for money. One example is Lloyds (LSE: LLOY), with the bank’s shares currently trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 7.5.

This suggests they could offer a wide margin of safety at a time when the prospects for the UK banking sector are highly uncertain.

Of course, other stocks also experiencing challenging futures lack value for money at present. One such company released a disappointing update on Tuesday, and may therefore be worth avoiding.

Weak sentiment

The stock in question is manufacturer of optical components and systems Gooch & Housego (LSE: GHH). Its interim results showed a fall in adjusted pre-tax profit of 22.8%, with a challenging industrial laser market the key cause for the decline. It’s been impacted by a cyclical downturn, as well as the impact of the US/China trade dispute.

As a result, the company has reduced its guidance for the full year, which prompted a 24% fall in its share price following the release of its results. Although the company remains optimistic about prospects for the industrial laser sector over the long term, and is seeking to invest in R&D alongside greater diversification, weak investor sentiment could push the Gooch & Housego share price even lower in the short run.

Uncertain outlook

Although sentiment towards the Lloyds share price has been weak at times in the last few years, the company has been able to deliver improving operational and financial performances. Key to this has been its ability to reduce costs at a faster pace than many of its industry peers, now having a highly competitive cost/income ratio.

In tandem with cost reductions, Lloyds has also been able to invest in its long-term growth potential. It appears to be aligned with changing customer tastes, with investment in its digital offering likely to remain high.

While there are risks ahead for the business from a weak UK economy, its current valuation suggests the stock has a wide margin of safety. As mentioned, it trades on a P/E ratio of 7.5. Assuming the stock will trade on a still-highly-appealing rating of 13 over the long run, it could be worth over 100p. This would represent a potential capital gain of around 75% from its current price level.

Of course, political and economic risks could hold back investor sentiment in the near term. But with the prospect of rising interest rates, the end of PPI claims, and a dividend yield in excess of 6%, Lloyds appears to have an enticing risk/reward ratio for long-term investors.

Therefore, even though further pain could be ahead in the short run from a weaker operating environment, its long-term growth capacity appears to be high.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Gooch & Housego and Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

British pound data
Investing Articles

Starting with nothing? Here’s why now is the perfect time to start building a passive income

Many are worried that 2026 might be a bad time to start investing in stocks and shares. Our Foolish author…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

Decided not to bother with a Stocks and Shares ISA? You might be missing these 3 things!

With a fresh annual allowance for contributing to a Stocks and Shares ISA upon us, what might people who don't…

Read more »

GSK scientist holding lab syringe
Investing Articles

Why is everyone buying GSK shares?

GSK shares have been outperforming the FTSE 100 in 2026. Paul Summers takes a closer look and asks whether this…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in easyJet shares at the start of 2026 is now worth…

Anyone buying easyJet shares will have endured a rough ride since January. Paul Summers wonders whether things could get even…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

5 years ago, £5,000 bought 2,645 Barclays shares. But how many would it buy now?

Despite delivering an impressive return since April 2021, Barclays' shares have lagged the FTSE 100's other banks. James Beard considers…

Read more »

Side of boat fuelled by gas to liquids, advertising Shell GTL Fuel
Investing Articles

5 years ago, £5,000 bought 354 Shell shares. But how many would it buy now?

When it comes to Shell’s numbers, most of them are impressive. And it’s no different when looking at the recent…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT if I should buy Aviva, Diageo or BAE Systems stock and it said…

Aviva, Diageo and BAE Systems shares are popular FTSE 100 picks. But which of the three does ChatGPT like the…

Read more »

Tesla car at super charger station
Investing Articles

SpaceX’s IPO threatens to leave the Tesla share price on the forecourt

As Elon Musk starts fuelling the engines for a SpaceX IPO, could the Tesla share price get left in the…

Read more »