One FTSE 100 stock I’d consider buying today, and one that can wait

Harvey Jones says this FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) stock could sprinkle a little bit of magic on your portfolio.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Theme park owner Merlin Entertainments (LSE: MERL) is up 3% today after reporting an extra million visitors to its attractions last year, lifting the total to a record high of 67m.

Positive theme

This worked its magic on the bottom line, as revenues climbing 5.9% to £1.69bn helped underlying earnings rise 4.3% at £494m. The group’s attractions, which include Madame Tussaud’s, London Dungeon, the London Aquarium and London Eye, had been hit by a drop in tourism in the capital since the 2017 terrorist attacks. Now the crowds are back, and Merlin is reaping the benefit, with a 4.9% rise in pre-tax profits to £285m.

Its resort theme parks division did particularly well with organic revenues up 9.1%, “driven by successful product investment, favourable weather and another strong Halloween period.” LEGOLAND Parks’ organic revenue increased 6.4% due to the opening of a record 644 accommodation rooms, offsetting a broadly flat performance.

LEGO lands

CEO Nick Varney said the group continues to mitigate ongoing external cost pressures and expects to deliver up to £35m of annualised savings by 2022. He also said it’s well placed to deliver long-term growth and returns and benefit from long-term trends such as a rising consumer spend and the increased focus on shared experiences.

The group is planning to open new LEGOLANDs in New York in 2020, and South Korea by 2022, which will prove capital intensive so investors will want to keep an eye debt levels. However, the results are good for what is traditionally a quiet time of the year. Merlin needs to grow strongly, with a slightly pricey forward valuation of 17.1 times earnings, and a PEG of 4.2.

Investors are positive today, though. The dividend yield is just 2.2%, although with healthy cover of 2.7. Earnings forecasts look steady. Peter Stephens has previously backed it.

Troubled waters

FTSE 250-listed oil services company Petrofac (LSE: PFC) trades 70% lower than it did five years ago and today’s results will do little to convince investors it’s on the mend. Its stock is up just 0.79% today after  full-year 2018 results showed revenues fell 8.9% to $5.8bn, while underlying profits dropped 2% at $353m.

The group did make a reported net profit of $64m after impairments and exceptional items, against a $29m loss in 2018. It can also boast a new order intake of $5bn, with a $9.6bn backlog at 31 December 2018. Net debt has been eliminated and net cash now stands at $90m. However, net profit fell 21% to $285m.

Fraud fear

Petrofac remains subject to an ongoing investigation into alleged bribery and corruption by the Serious Fraud Office, and this continues to cast a shadow over the business. Investors have no idea what to expect, but prospective clients could be wary, which may hit future orders. This is an added worry as orders have been shrinking. However, Roland Head says the threat has been factored into the price.

Positives include a forecast yield of 7.4% with cover of 2.2, and a valuation of 5.9 times forward earnings. However, earnings forecasts seems bumpy. I won’t be rushing to buy this one.

Harvey Jones has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Merlin Entertainments. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT to settle the ISA v SIPP debate once and for all. It said…

Instead of working out whether an ISA or SIPP is the better tax wrapper, Harvey Jones called the robots in.…

Read more »

Middle-aged white male courier delivering boxes to young black lady
Investing Articles

Amazon shares: overpriced or a possible bargain?

Christopher Ruane thinks Amazon shares look pricier than he normally likes -- but also reckons they could be a potential…

Read more »

Female Tesco employee holding produce crate
Investing Articles

In a jittery market, could Tesco shares be a defensive choice?

Could Tesco shares be a safe haven in nervous markets, given that consumers always need to eat? Our writer is…

Read more »

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface
Investing Articles

How much might £10,000 in Rolls-Royce shares soon be worth? Let’s ask the experts

Do Rolls-Royce shares look like a good buy after recent price falls? City analysts still appear bullish, but global events…

Read more »

Queen Street, one of Cardiff's main shopping streets, busy with Saturday shoppers.
Investing Articles

Take a deep breath! £10,000 invested in Greggs shares a year ago is now worth…

Someone who bought Greggs shares a year ago is nursing a paper loss. Our writer digs into the reasons why…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Whatever happened to the stock market crash?

The stock market refuses to crash, despite the Iran war. But Harvey Jones says lots of FTSE 100 shares have…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

BP’s share price will keep surging in 2026, according to this broker

BP’s share price is in a strong upward trend right now. And one City brokerage firm seems to believe that…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

These 4 red flags mean I’m avoiding easyJet shares like the plague!

easyJet shares have slumped by around a quarter during the past month. Does this represent a dip-buying opportunity? Royston Wild…

Read more »