Here’s why FTSE 100-member Royal Mail’s share price could be set for a rebound

Royal Mail plc (LON: RMG) could outperform the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) after a challenging period.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The performance of the Royal Mail (LSE: RMG) share price in recent weeks has been relatively disappointing. It has fallen by over 20% in the last four months, which suggests that investors have become increasingly concerned about its prospects.

Now though, the company offers what appears to be a low valuation. As such, it could be worth buying alongside another share which reported encouraging results on Monday. Both shares could outperform the FTSE 100 in the long run.

In-line performance

Reporting upbeat results on Monday was supplier of integrated training and support solutions to the defence and regulated civilian sectors, Pennant International (LSE: PEN). The company is performing in line with expectations, recording a more-than 100% rise in pre-tax profit to £2.03m. It’s been able to successfully rescope a key contract with a major UK prime contractor during the first half of the year, while also delivering all remaining training aids on Middle East contracts that were signed in 2016.

Looking ahead, the company’s contracted order book of £31m, scheduled for delivery over the next three years, suggests that it has a bright future. It also has a pipeline of potential opportunities that are valued at over £100m in aggregate.

With Pennant International currently trading on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1, it seems to offer good value for money. With net cash of £3m, and what seems to be a solid growth strategy, its share price performance could improve over the medium term.

Volatile prospects?

As mentioned, the Royal Mail share price has disappointed in recent months. The company’s financial outlook is unlikely to cause a sudden improvement in investor sentiment, with it due to report a fall in earnings of 14% in the current year. While a return to growth is forecast for 2019, the company’s bottom line is expected to increase by just 1% versus the current year. This suggests the challenges that have held back its performance in recent years are set to continue.

With the majority of Royal Mail’s revenue being generated in the UK, political uncertainty remains a key risk facing the business. Although cost avoidance measures are helping to make the UK operations more efficient, volumes are likely to remain under pressure. This could cause a further decline in the company’s financial performance in the near term.

In the long run though, a pivot towards international markets could take place under the new CEO. This could be done through a mix of organic growth and acquisitions, with the prospects for international markets much stronger than the UK, according to the company’s recent update. As such, and with the stock now having a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14 following its recent decline, now could be the right time to buy it ahead of what may prove to be a period of improved performance.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Emma Raducanu for Vodafone billboard animation at Piccadilly Circus, London
Investing Articles

Up 40% this year, can the Vodafone share price keep going?

Vodafone shareholders have been rewarded this year with a dividend increase on top of share price growth. Our writer weighs…

Read more »

Buffett at the BRK AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s why I like Tesco shares, but won’t be buying any!

Drawing inspiration from famed investor Warren Buffett's approach, our writer explains why Tesco shares aren't on his shopping list.

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

If the HSBC share price can clear these hurdles, it could fly in 2026

After a fantastic year, Jon Smith points out some of the potential road bumps for the HSBC share price, including…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’m thrilled I bought Rolls-Royce shares in 2023. Will I buy more in 2026?

Rolls-Royce has become a superior company, with rising profits, buybacks, and shares now paying a dividend. So is the FTSE…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

With Warren Buffett about to step down, what can investors learn?

Legendary investor Warren Buffett is about to hand over the reins of Berkshire Hathaway after decades in charge. How might…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT for the perfect passive income ISA and it said…

Which 10 passive income stocks did the world's most popular artificial intelligence chatbot pick for a Stocks and Shares ISA?

Read more »

Tŵr Mawr lighthouse (meaning "great tower" in Welsh), on Ynys Llanddwyn on Anglesey, Wales, marks the western entrance to the Menai Strait.
Investing Articles

How I generated a 66.6% return in my SIPP in 2025 (and my strategy for 2026!)

By focusing on undervalued, high-potential stocks, this writer achieved market-beating SIPP returns in 2025 – here’s how he aims to…

Read more »

Happy young female stock-picker in a cafe
Investing Articles

New to the stock market? Here’s how you can give yourself a huge advantage

Stock market crashes can make buying shares intimidating. But investors don’t need specialist skills or knowledge to give themselves a big…

Read more »