This growing threat could cause the Tullow Oil share price to beat the FTSE 100

Tullow Oil plc (LON: TLW) could benefit from a changing oil price outlook, which may boost its performance versus the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Oil price prospects continue to be highly uncertain. Geopolitical risks facing major oil producers, such as Iran and Venezuela, could cause a disruption to supply that means increased prices for consumers across the world. While production from other nations may be able to pick-up the slack in the long run, it may take time for that to be achieved.

Of course, a higher oil price would be good news for oil producers such as Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW). The company has increased production in recent years, and this could help it to outperform the FTSE 100. However, it’s not the only oil stock that could be worth buying at the present time.

Improving outlook

Releasing news of a contract win on Monday was energy services company Wood Group (LSE: WG). It has agreed a six-year contract with Shell to provide asset management services to the Malampaya deepwater gas-to-power project in the Philippines. The company will provide maintenance services, modifications and shutdown support. It highlights the synergies that are being delivered since the combination of Amec Foster Wheeler and Wood Group, with the enlarged entity enjoying improved operational performance.

Looking ahead, a rising oil price could create additional activity in the oil and gas services sector. This is expected to push Wood Group’s bottom line 22% higher in the next financial year. Despite its upbeat financial prospects, the company trades on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.6, which suggests that it offers good value for money. As such, now could be the right time to buy it for the long term.

Growth potential

With Tullow Oil having increased production in recent quarters, a rising oil price could make a major impact on its bottom line. In fact, it’s forecast to post a rise in earnings of 10% in the next financial year. This puts it on a PEG ratio of 1, which indicates that investors may not yet have factored in its rising profitability.

Of course, one area where Tullow Oil has been relatively weak in the past is its balance sheet. It has a significant amount of debt, which has made its financial standing arguably less resilient than many of its sector peers. A lower oil price could therefore be of greater risk to its prospects than some of its sector peers.

However, with the company focused on reducing net debt as its cash flow improves, it could be in a stronger position versus rivals. This may allow it to command a higher valuation over the medium term – especially if the oil price remains at a high level. As such, and while still a relatively risky share given the uncertain outlook for the oil price, its financial prospects appear to be impressive. This could mean it is a sound buy for the long term.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A handsome mature bald bearded black man in a sunglasses and a fashionable blue or teal costume with a tie is standing in front of a wall made of striped wooden timbers and fastening a suit button
Investing Articles

Is NIO stock the next Tesla?

The NIO share price is up by more than 100% in the past year. Might this Chinese EV firm be…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Is this the beginning of a stock market recovery?

Dr James Fox explores whether a stock market recovery is truly on the cards after the US struck a deal…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Up just 1%: what’s going on with Tesco shares now?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at Tesco shares after the stock rose less than the rest of the…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

How much do I need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to reach a £2,027 monthly passive income?

The new financial year is under way and that means new allowances for the Stocks and Shares ISA! How much…

Read more »

UK coloured flags waving above large crowd on a stadium sport match.
Investing Articles

Why is everyone suddenly buying this dirt-cheap growth stock?

This beaten-down UK growth stock has suddenly become the centre of attention as investors target its recovery potential. The Iran…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Why is everyone buying Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares jumped 10% today, even giving mining stocks a run for their money as the FTSE 100 index suddenly…

Read more »

Shot of a senior man drinking coffee and looking thoughtfully out of a window
Investing Articles

Up 8%: what’s going on with Lloyds shares today?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at one of the stock market's biggest gainers on Wednesday 8 April after…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Fresnillo share price rebounds as a FTSE 100 top mover after a 30% sell-off — what’s next?

The Fresnillo share price has surged today — Andrew Mackie asks whether this FTSE 100 mover is signalling a turning…

Read more »