Why the BAE share price could crush the FTSE 100

BAE Systems plc (LON: BA) seems to have the capacity to beat the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) due to its income potential.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Although inflation has fallen in recent months, it remains significantly higher than interest rates. Given the projected path of interest rates over the medium term, this is likely to remain the case for many years.

As such, dividend shares such as BAE (LSE: BA) are likely to remain popular among investors in future. This could increase demand for them and lead to higher share prices. Therefore, alongside another income stock which reported positive results on Friday, the aerospace and defence company could have investment appeal.

Improving prospects

The industry in which it operates has experienced a mixed period in recent years. Austerity has caused defence budgets across the globe to come under pressure, while a turbulent economic performance has failed to create confidence in the wider industry. As a result, BAE’s earnings growth has been lacklustre in recent years, rising at an annualised rate of just 2.4% during the last five years.

Looking ahead, there could be improving prospects for the company. Higher military spending in the US and an improving outlook for the wider economy look set to contribute to a rise in its bottom line of 8% next year. This could help the company to pay a higher dividend over the medium term.

Income potential

With BAE having a dividend yield of 3.5% at the present time, its income return is already well ahead of inflation. Its dividend growth rate could also beat inflation over the medium term, with its shareholder payouts currently being covered 1.9 times by profit. As a result, it would be unsurprising for the company’s dividends to rise fairly quickly over the coming years, since they seem to be very affordable.

Furthermore, with the company seeking to become more efficient and having a modest debt level, its long-term outlook appears to be positive. As such, its income prospects from a risk/reward ratio could be encouraging.

Growth potential

Also offering upbeat income prospects is specialist staffing business SThree (LSE: STHR). The company released a positive half-year trading update on Friday which showed that it continues to generate improving financial performance. Gross profit was up by 11% versus the prior year, with strong performance in Europe and the US offsetting a modest decline in UK profitability.

Looking ahead, the company appears to be protected from the potential ill-effects of Brexit through its international exposure. It generates 82% of gross profit from outside the UK, and this could provide it with greater stability than some of its more UK-focused peers.

With SThree forecast to post a rise in its bottom line of 17% in the next financial year, it seems to be performing well. This could lead to higher dividend growth, with its shareholder payouts currently covered twice by profit. As a result, and with it having a dividend yield of 4.4% at the present time, the stock may prove to be a solid income performer in the long run.

Peter Stephens owns shares of BAE Systems. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

Could there be light at the end of the tunnel for the Aston Martin share price?

The market rewarded Aston Martin's latest quarterly update with a bit of va va voom in its share price. Is…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What next for Lloyds shares after better-than-expected Q1 results?

Investors piled into Lloyds shares in 2025. But how has the bank started 2026? James Beard takes a closer look…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

This former penny stock can jump another 37% to 360p, says this broker

One ex-penny stock is up an eye-popping 2,290% in just 36 months. Why does one City analyst team see even…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing For Beginners

Analysts think this FTSE 100 stock could rally by 33% in the coming year

Jon Smith points out a FTSE 100 stock that has positive analyst ratings, indicating a potential rally after having dropped…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Retirement Articles

How to invest £20k in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target lucrative passive income for life

Mark Hartley outlines a strategy to use £20k a year in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for £4,000…

Read more »

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface
Investing Articles

£10,000 in savings? Here’s a 3-step plan to target a £9,287 second income

Buying dividend stocks and reinvesting the returns is one way to earn a second income. But Stephen Wright thinks there’s…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Dividend Shares

Prediction: this FTSE 250 10% dividend yield is doomed!

For months, I've considered buying this FTSE 250 stock for its near-10% dividend yield. However, with this payout threatened, I've…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much is needed in a SIPP to target a £25,095.20 annual income

Harvey Jones says building a portfolio of top UK stocks in a SIPP can help build a passive income that's…

Read more »