Why the BAE share price could crush the FTSE 100

BAE Systems plc (LON: BA) seems to have the capacity to beat the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) due to its income potential.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Although inflation has fallen in recent months, it remains significantly higher than interest rates. Given the projected path of interest rates over the medium term, this is likely to remain the case for many years.

As such, dividend shares such as BAE (LSE: BA) are likely to remain popular among investors in future. This could increase demand for them and lead to higher share prices. Therefore, alongside another income stock which reported positive results on Friday, the aerospace and defence company could have investment appeal.

Improving prospects

The industry in which it operates has experienced a mixed period in recent years. Austerity has caused defence budgets across the globe to come under pressure, while a turbulent economic performance has failed to create confidence in the wider industry. As a result, BAE’s earnings growth has been lacklustre in recent years, rising at an annualised rate of just 2.4% during the last five years.

Looking ahead, there could be improving prospects for the company. Higher military spending in the US and an improving outlook for the wider economy look set to contribute to a rise in its bottom line of 8% next year. This could help the company to pay a higher dividend over the medium term.

Income potential

With BAE having a dividend yield of 3.5% at the present time, its income return is already well ahead of inflation. Its dividend growth rate could also beat inflation over the medium term, with its shareholder payouts currently being covered 1.9 times by profit. As a result, it would be unsurprising for the company’s dividends to rise fairly quickly over the coming years, since they seem to be very affordable.

Furthermore, with the company seeking to become more efficient and having a modest debt level, its long-term outlook appears to be positive. As such, its income prospects from a risk/reward ratio could be encouraging.

Growth potential

Also offering upbeat income prospects is specialist staffing business SThree (LSE: STHR). The company released a positive half-year trading update on Friday which showed that it continues to generate improving financial performance. Gross profit was up by 11% versus the prior year, with strong performance in Europe and the US offsetting a modest decline in UK profitability.

Looking ahead, the company appears to be protected from the potential ill-effects of Brexit through its international exposure. It generates 82% of gross profit from outside the UK, and this could provide it with greater stability than some of its more UK-focused peers.

With SThree forecast to post a rise in its bottom line of 17% in the next financial year, it seems to be performing well. This could lead to higher dividend growth, with its shareholder payouts currently covered twice by profit. As a result, and with it having a dividend yield of 4.4% at the present time, the stock may prove to be a solid income performer in the long run.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of BAE Systems. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 shares investors should consider for a £1,260 passive income in 2024

Investing a lump sum in these FTSE 250 shares could yield a four-figure dividend income this year. Are they too…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

This FTSE share has grown its decade annually for over 30 years. Can it continue?

Christopher Ruane looks at a FTSE 100 share that has raised its dividend annually for decades. He likes the business,…

Read more »

Elevated view over city of London skyline
Investing Articles

Few UK shares grew their dividend by 90% in 4 years. This one did!

Among UK shares, few have the recent track record of annual dividend increases to match this one. Our writer likes…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 share yields 9.9%. Time to buy?

Christopher Ruane weighs some pros and cons of buying a FTSE 250 share for his portfolio that currently offers a…

Read more »

Affectionate Asian senior mother and daughter using smartphone together at home, smiling joyfully
Investing Articles

As the NatWest share price closes in on a new 5-year high, will it soon be too late to buy?

The NatWest share price has climbed strongly so far in 2024, as the whole bank sector has been enjoying a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If the stock market crashes, I’ll pour shares of this luxury brand into my ISA

Nobody knows when the stock market will next crash. But this Fool already knows the stock he will buy without…

Read more »

2024 year number handwritten on a sandy beach at sunrise
Investing Articles

A Q1 trading update pushes the Beazley share price up a bit more. Is it still cheap?

The Beazley share price has been motoring up in what might turn out to be the start of a 2024…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Prediction: this will be the FTSE 100’s next great stock!

This FTSE 250 stock has more than doubled in value during the past five years. Our writer thinks it could…

Read more »