Why I’d buy and hold shares in this dividend growth stock forever

This could be a once in a lifetime opportunity to snap up some cheap shares in this dividend leader.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in Photo-Me (LSE: PHTM) are sliding this morning after the company issued a profit warning for 2019. According to the trading update, while 2018 is going to plan, restructuring costs are expected to weigh on growth in 2019.

Management is undertaking a restructuring of the group’s Japanese photobooth business. This division is currently performing below expectations thanks to a surge in competition following the launch of the Japanese government’s My Number ID card programme.

However, according to Photo-Me’s update, “this card programme is not compulsory and has not gained the momentum photobooth operators initially anticipated.” So the company is now reconsidering its position in the Japanese market and looking to “invest in a thorough restructuring of its Japanese subsidiary.” Restructuring will weigh on profits while under way, but it is “expected to boost profitability in FY19 and beyond.

After factoring in these costs, management believes that profit before tax for the year ending 30 April 2019 will be at least £44m, which is “likely to be at a similar level to [the] financial year ended 30 April 2018.” 

Time to buy? 

Photo-Me’s growth stumble is disappointing, but I believe that despite this setback, the stock remains an attractive income play for investors. 

After today’s decline, the shares support a dividend yield of just under 6% and this morning’s trading update notes, “although no final decision has yet been made, the board currently expects that it will maintain the group’s existing dividend policy.” So it looks as if the payout is here to stay. With net cash of “approximately £26m” at the end of April, Photo-Me certainly looks to have the resources to maintain the dividend at its current level. 

And when the company does return to growth, I expect it to return to its dividend growing ways

Over the past six years, it has increased its dividend at an average rate of 23% per annum, from 2.5p to an estimated 8.4p for 2018. With this being the case, I believe today’s declines could be a great opportunity to snap up shares in the dividend growth champion. 

Strong and flexible 

With its “strong and flexible” business model, IRN-BRU maker A.G. Barr (LSE: BAG) is also on my dividend growth stock radar. 

What I like about A.G. Barr is the group’s defensive business model and its strong cash generation. For fiscal 2018, net cash jumped 50% to £15m even though the firm spent £17m on dividends and £8.5m buying back stock during the year. I expect the soft drinks manufacturer to report a similar performance for fiscal 2019, generating more cash to support the dividend and underpin dividend growth. Indeed, as my Foolish colleague Kevin Godbold recently pointed out, it looks as if there’s nothing visible on the horizon to suggest that dividend growth will falter.

The one downside is that shares in A.G. Barr are relatively expensive. At the time of writing the stock trades at a forward P/E of 20.8 and the dividend yield is a lowly 2.4%. That being said, in my view, this is a price worth paying for one of the most defensive stocks on the market today. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AG Barr and Photo-Me International. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

No savings? I’d use the Warren Buffett method to target big passive income

This Fool looks at a couple of key elements of Warren Buffett's investing philosophy that he thinks can help him…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 hidden gem is quietly taking things to the next level

After making it to the FTSE 100 index last year, Howden Joinery Group looks to be setting its sights on…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A £20k Stocks and Shares ISA put into a FTSE 250 tracker 10 years ago could be worth this much now

The idea of a Stocks and Shares ISA can scare a lot of people away. But here's a way to…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

What next for the Lloyds share price, after a 25% climb in 2024?

First-half results didn't do much to help the Lloyds Bank share price. What might the rest of the year and…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’ve got my eye on this FTSE 250 company

The FTSE 250's full of opportunities for investors willing to do the search legwork, and I think I've found one…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 stock has smashed Nvidia shares in 2024. Is it still worth me buying?

Flying under most investors' radars, this FTSE 250 stock has even outperformed the US chip maker year-to-date. Where will its…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£11k stashed away? I’d use it to target a £1,173 monthly passive income starting now

Harvey Jones reckons dividend-paying FTSE 100 shares are a great way to build a long-term passive income with minimal effort.

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

10% dividend increase! Is IMI one of the best stocks to buy in the FTSE 100 index?

To me, this firm's multi-year record of well-balanced progress makes the FTSE 100 stock one of the most attractive in…

Read more »