The Risks Of Investing In Vodafone Group Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Vodafone (LSE: VOD) (NASDAQ: VOD.US).

European travails roll on

The effect of continued sales weakness in the continent continues to pummel Vodafone’s bottom line. The telecoms giant saw group service revenues slump 4.3% in the 12 months concluding March 2014, to £39.5bn, as turnover on the continent nosedived an eye-watering 9.1%. Europe is responsible for more than two-thirds of total revenues, and although the firm is boosting its exposure to emerging geographies to offset problems here, enduring weakness in Europe clearly remains a huge concern.

Indeed, the prospect of worsening continental problems is expected to result in a colossal 61% earnings decline for the current year, worsening from the 16% drop posted in 2014. With competition increasing on the continent, and wider macro pressure on consumers’ wallets enduring, Vodafone could struggle to gain sufficient traction to turn around its ailing fortunes.

Regulatory reforms loom large

On top of this, Vodafone is also fighting a battle against proposed European Union legislative changes that threaten to put a further boot vodinto its earnings profile.

This month, new laws came into effect that capped what network providers can charge for customers making calls, sending text messages and surfing the internet when travelling in Europe. And EU legislators voted last month to put all roaming charges to the sword, although these plans still need to be signed off by the bloc’s governments.

A fragile dividend selection

On top of its murky near-term earnings outlook, Vodafone’s dividend prospects for this year and next can also be described as extremely fragile at best. Indeed, City expectations for growth to tank in 2015, to 6.8p per share, means that a predicted dividend of 11.4p are not even covered by earnings. And the situation is not much better the year after — a payout of 11.8p per share far outstrips a slight earnings recovery to 7.2p.

These projections create massive yields of 5.8% and 6% for 2014 and 2015 respectively. But in my opinion a backdrop of consistent earnings pressure, not to mention the effect of its vast Project Spring investment programme and rolling acquisitions drive on cash reserves, could put dividend growth under the cosh.

> Royston does not own shares in Vodafone.

More on Investing Articles

British bank notes and coins
Investing Articles

Here’s a £30-a-week plan to generate passive income!

Putting a passive income plan into action need not take a large amount of resources. Christopher Ruane explains how it…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

Want a second income? Here’s how a spare £3k today could earn £3k annually in years to come!

How big can a second income built around a portfolio of dividend shares potentially be? Christopher Ruane explains some of…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£20,000 for a Stocks and Shares ISA? Here’s how to try and turn it into a monthly passive income of £493

Hundreds of pounds in passive income a month from a £20k Stocks and Shares ISA? Here's how that might work…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

£5,000 put into Nvidia stock last Christmas is already worth this much!

A year ago, Nvidia stock was already riding high -- but it's gained value since. Our writer explores why and…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Tesco shares easy money heading into 2026?

The supermarket industry is known for low margins and intense competition. But analysts are bullish on Tesco shares – and…

Read more »

Smiling black woman showing e-ticket on smartphone to white male attendant at airport
Investing Articles

Can this airline stock beat the FTSE 100 again in 2026?

After outperforming the FTSE 100 in 2025, International Consolidated Airlines Group has a promising plan to make its business more…

Read more »

Investing Articles

1 Stocks and Shares ISA mistake that will make me a better investor in 2026

All investors make mistakes. The best ones learn from them. That’s Stephen Wright’s plan to maximise returns from his Stocks…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT if £20,000 would work harder in an ISA or SIPP in 2026 and it said…

Investors have two tax-efficient ways to build wealth, either in a Stocks and Shares ISA or SIPP. Harvey Jones asked…

Read more »