The Risks Of Investing In Royal Bank of Scotland Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Royal Bank of Scotland plc (LON: RBS).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Royal Bank of Scotland (LSE: RBS) (NYSE: RBS.US).

Citizens Bank needs plenty of work

As part of its ongoing bid to strip out non-core and underperforming assets, Royal Bank of Scotland’s Citizens Bank operations in the US filed for flotation back in May. Initially the British bank plans to test the water by divesting between 20% and 25% of its holding in its North RBSAmerican arm by the end of this year, with full exit is pencilled in by 2016.

However, Royal Bank of Scotland will be required to undertake significant work at Citizens in order to get it back in decent working order and prompt full divestment, a situation which could take further time and effort should financial markets — and the still-fragile banking sector — take another downturn.

Indeed, the bank failed Federal Reserve stress tests back in March identified ‘deficiencies in RBS Citizens’ practices for estimating revenue and losses under a stress scenario and for ensuring the appropriateness of loss estimates across business lines given a specific stress scenario.’

Capital problems continue to crimp appeal

The sale of its North American entity is a critical part of Royal Bank of Scotland’s plan to build up its frankly underwhelming capital situation. Under European Union Basel III laws, the group’s fully-loaded Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio rang in at a shocking 9.4% as of the end of March, falling short of most of its sector peers and casting fears of further stress-test woes.

Although the company’s expense-reduction programme has achieved a great deal so far — costs dropped an additional 6% during the first quarter, to £3.2bn — revenues continue to decline as a result of arguably over-zealous asset stripping and poor performance at its core operations.

Indeed, group turnover slipped to £19.4bn last year, a huge departure from revenues of £32.6bn in 2010. And with revenue slippage continuing to outpace cost reductions, broker Investec expects Royal Bank of Scotland to report a further meaty fall to £17.8bn this year alone. Against this backdrop it is difficult to envisage the bank building its capital reserves near the required standard any time soon.

> Royston does not own shares in Royal Bank of Scotland.

More on Investing Articles

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Can Barclays shares do it all over again in 2026?

Barclays shares had a spectacular return in 2025, rising by 76.8%. Muhammad Cheema takes a look to see if they…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 stock supercharged my SIPP in 2025. Can it repeat the trick in 2026?

A FTSE 100 stock has lifted my SIPP this year, showing how long-term thinking, volatility, and optionality can shape retirement…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

£1k invested in the UK stock market during the pandemic is currently worth…

Jon Smith not only points out the specific gains from investing in the stock market generally since the pandemic, but…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Will Nvidia shares continue surging in 2026 and beyond?

2026 will be an exciting year for Nvidia shares as the semiconductor giant launches its latest generation of AI chips.…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Check out the BP share price and dividend forecast for 2026 – it’s hard to believe!

Harvey Jones is feeling rather glum about the BP share price but analysts reckon it's good to go. So who's…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT for its top FTSE 100 stock for 2026, and it said…

Muhammad Cheema asked ChatGPT for its top FTSE 100 pick, and its response surprised him. He thinks he’s found an…

Read more »

Investing Articles

By the end of 2026, can Rolls-Royce shares hit £17?

Rolls-Royce shares have had another phenomenal year, rising by 95.4%. Muhammad Cheema takes a look at whether they can continue…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will Barclays shares continue their epic run into 2026 and beyond?

Noting that difference of opinion is a global norm, Zaven Boyrazian discusses what the experts think will happen to Barclays…

Read more »