Is EMIS plc a falling knife to catch after today’s 20% slump?

Could EMIS plc (LON: EMIS) deliver a strong recovery?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Connected healthcare and services provider EMIS (LSE: EMIS) has fallen by as much as 20% today after it announced the results of a review of customer and product support processes.

The review has identified a failure to meet certain service levels and reporting levels with NHS Digital. It relates to the company’s web product for GPs in England, with the findings having been fully disclosed to NHS Digital.

The financial impact of the issue is still unclear, as it has only just come to light. However, the company estimates that it could be in the upper single-digits of millions of pounds. With the firm having made a pre-tax profit of £25m in 2016, this is a sizeable amount for the business.

Improving trading

As well as the results of its review, EMIS also released a trading update for the 2017 financial year on Thursday. The company’s performance has been in line with expectations, excluding the potential losses from the aforementioned review. Full-year revenue was slightly ahead of the comparative period as it benefitted from growing recurring revenue, strong market shares and good momentum in its order books and pipelines.

Furthermore, the internal reorganisation programme has been completed, with a renewed focus on improving day to day operational management. With the company having a balance sheet which includes £14m of net cash, it appears to be in sound financial shape for the long run.

Recovery potential

With EMIS trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.3 even after today’s share price fall, its valuation appears to be high. Certainly, the business has growth potential, but this may be scaled back over the near term by the outcome of the review. As such, it may not be able to sustain its current valuation over the coming months, since investors may reduce their growth expectations for the business. This means that now may not be the right time to buy it for the long term.

Improving outlook

Also operating in the software and computer services industry is Iomart (LSE: IOM). The cloud specialist has a solid track record of earnings growth, with its bottom line rising at an annualised rate of 15% during the last five years. More growth is set to be delivered over the next couple of years, with the company’s bottom line due to rise by 13% next year, and by 9% in the following year.

With Iomart trading on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4, it seems to offer excellent value for money. The company appears to be making encouraging progress with its strategy and when its consistent growth prospects are factored in, there could be scope for a higher rating over the medium term.

With dividends per share forecast to grow by 28% during the next two years, the stock has a forward yield of around 2.2%. This is from a dividend which is expected to be covered 2.6 times by profit. As such, more growth in shareholder payouts could be ahead.

Peter Stephens has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Emis Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Here’s what happened to £1,000 invested in the past 2 stock market crashes

History may not repeat itself, but our writer reckons there are lessons to be learned from what recent stock market…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman at the street withdrawing money at the ATM
Investing Articles

Here’s how the HSBC share price reached an all-time high… and what might be next

HSBC’s record share price reflects a strong rebound in profits and investor confidence, but future gains may be bumpier from…

Read more »

UK coloured flags waving above large crowd on a stadium sport match.
Investing Articles

Investors tempted by beaten-down Diageo shares should mark 6 May on their calendars now

Diageo is a top British blue-chip but its shares have come under fire in recent years. Harvey Jones hopes investors…

Read more »

Close up of manual worker's equipment at construction site without people.
Investing Articles

Are Taylor Wimpey shares just too cheap to ignore?

Times have been tough for holders of Taylor Wimpey shares. But Paul Summers wonders whether a lot of bad news…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Here’s how to target a £50 monthly passive income in a Stocks and Shares ISA

How easy or hard is it to start building a £50 monthly passive income in a Stocks and Shares ISA?…

Read more »

Edinburgh Cityscape with fireworks over The Castle and Balmoral Clock Tower
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in Scottish Mortgage shares 3 years ago is now worth…

Scottish Mortgage shares have the wind in their sails and have delivered excellent returns since 2023. Is this FTSE 100…

Read more »

Belfast City Sunset with colorful twilight over Lagan Weir Pedestrian and Cycle Bridge spanning over the Lagan River in downtown Belfast
Investing Articles

Up 1,164%! Here’s how the Rolls-Royce share price might keep surging

The Rolls-Royce share price has been flying of late. But here's one reason why the next few years could see…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Down 90% and 93%! Are Ocado Group and Aston Martin shares set for a mind-blowing recovery?

Aston Martin shares have been a complete disaster and Ocado has done just as badly. But are these FTSE 250…

Read more »