The numbers don’t lie, GlaxoSmithKline plc is set to beat AstraZeneca plc this year

First quarter results from AstraZeneca plc (LON: AZN) and GlaxoSmithKline plc (LON: GSK) clearly show which is the better company.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK) has made a great start to 2016. The company’s first-quarter results released at the end of last week, showed that Glaxo is on course to increase earnings by 10% to 12% this year, which is slightly ahead of market expectations.

During the first quarter, growth in HIV drugs, vaccines, and consumer healthcare helped offset a further decline in respiratory medicines while benefits of cost cuts and restructuring contributed to improving profit margins across the group. Overall sales increased by 11% to £6.23bn. Earnings per share excluding exceptional items and adjusted for currency rose 8% to 19.8p ahead of City forecasts which were calling for earnings per share of 18.2p. 

A fifth of pharma sales during the quarter came from new brands, putting the group on course for its target to reach £6bn of annual revenues from new products by 2018.

There’s no denying that these first quarter results from Glaxo are extremely encouraging. The group seems to be on track to hit its growth forecast for this year and a strong performance across all of the company’s divisions shows that management’s turnaround plan is working.

Struggling to gain traction 

On the other hand, it appears as if AstraZeneca’s (LSE: AZN) recovery is struggling to gain traction. The company’s first-quarter results showed that core profit fell in the first three months of the year, even as revenues rose. 

Higher research spending was to blame for the underlying drop in profitability. Research spending climbed 15% year-on-year to $1.4bn, core operating profit fell by 12% to $1.6bn and revenues increased by 1% to $6.13bn. 

On the face of it, these figures don’t seem too bad. However, Astra’s Q1 numbers were bolstered by some accounting factors, which helped the company boost its bottom line. 

For example, net profit for the period increased 17% to $646m as a result of lower amortisation charges. Also, the company received a huge boost from its so-called externalisation deals which raised $550m in proceeds during the first quarter, up from $309m a year earlier. Without this revenue boost, Astra would have reported a near 5% year-on-year decline in sales. Management expects total revenue and core earnings per share to decrease by a low-to-mid-single-digit percentage in 2016.

The bottom line 

All in all, the first quarter results from Glaxo and Astra tell two different stories. Glaxo’s turnaround is starting to gain traction as sales of the company’s new treatments pick up. But Astra is still struggling to report any real organic growth; the company is relying on externalisation revenues or one-off asset sales to improve its quarterly figures.

And if you’re looking for income, you can’t go wrong with Glaxo. The company’s shares currently support a dividend yield of 5.6% and trade at a forward P/E of 16.5. Astra’s shares support a yield of 5% and trade at a forward PE of 14.1.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares of GlaxoSmithKline. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended GlaxoSmithKline. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

The Meta share price falls 10% on weak Q2 guidance — should investors consider buying?

The Meta Platforms' share price is down 10% after the company reported Q1 earnings per share growth of 117%. Does…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 defence stock looks like a hidden growth gem to me

With countries hiking defence spending as the world grows more insecure, this FTSE 250 firm has seen surging orders and…

Read more »

Bronze bull and bear figurines
Investing Articles

1 hidden dividend superstar I’d buy over Lloyds shares right now

My stock screener flagged that I should sell my Lloyds shares and buy more Phoenix Group Holdings for three key…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

A solid track record and 5.4% yield, this is my top dividend stock pick for May

A great dividend stock is about more than its yield. When hunting for dividend heroes, I look at several metrics…

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£8k in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to retire with an annual passive income of £30,000

Getting old needn't be a struggle. Even with a small pot of savings, it's possible to build up a decent…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Down 50% in a year! Are the FTSE’s 2 worst performers the best shares to buy today?

Harvey Jones is looking for the best shares to buy for his portfolio today and wonders whether these two FTSE…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Is FTSE 8,000+ the turning point for UK shares?

On Tuesday 23 April, the FTSE 100 hit a new record high, in a St George's Day celebration. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a ton of passive income from £20k in an ISA

To get the best passive income from an ISA, I think we need to balance risk with the potential rewards.…

Read more »