Is It Time To Dump The Homebuilders?

Is it time to sell Persimmon plc (LON:PSN), Barratt Developments Plc (LON:BDEV), Taylor Wimpey plc (LON:TW), Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LON:BKG) and Bellway plc (LON:BWY)?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Within the past few days it has been revealed that this month, asking prices for homes across Britain fell for the first time this year. For the homebuilders, Persimmon (LSE: PSN), Barratt Developments (LSE: BDEV), Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW), Berkeley Group (LSE: BKG) and Bellway (LSE: BWY), this is a worrying decline. 

The question is, however, does this decline signal the peak of the housing market? Are home prices set to fall for the rest of the year? Is it time to sell the homebuilders?

Slipping prices OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA

A combination of stricter lending rules, as well as speculation about rising interest rates have been blamed for weaker house prices. Prices fell 0.8% overall this month, with the North and the East Midlands leading the decline. Specifically, north of London prices dropped an average of 1.9%, while prices in Greater London dropped only 0.4%.

These declines are worrying. The property market outside of London has been weaker than the market within the capital and as a result, the recovery in prices was expected to be more sustained. Indeed, a slowdown in London’s property market was to be expected, considering recent gains. However, falling prices in the north of the country, where the market has only just started to recover, is a concern.

Nevertheless, industry experts were quick to brush off the fall, blaming it on the summer weather and events like the World Cup.

Running out of supply

Some analysts have been quick to use this data to support their argument that the UK housing market is running out of steam. It would appear as if the opposite is true.

For example, according to figures supplied by online estate agent eMoov, it would appear as if the housing market is rapidly running out of supply, which should support long-term growth.

According to eMoov, data suggests that within many regions across the UK, more than 50% of the housing stock put on the market during the second quarter has been snapped up.

Further, some regions are reporting that more than 70% of the housing stock that came to market during the second quarter has been acquired. According to the founder of eMoov, when more than 65% of housing stock is snapped up within one period, demand is exceeding supply.

This data signals that there is strong demand for housing, and while prices may be taking a step back, demand continues to increase.

So, based on the above data it would appear that as of yet, it’s not time to turn your back on the homebuilders. Demand for affordable housing continues to increase and the homebuilders are set to profit from this. 

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

If we get a stock market crash next week, I’m ready!

Harvey Jones has drawn up his plan of attack for the next stock market crash. And it's pretty much just…

Read more »

Young black female footballer training on stadium pitch
Investing Articles

9.8% dividend yields! 2 passive income shares to consider in an ISA

Kicking around some stock ideas for the new ISA season? Here are two passive income shares Royston Wild thinks investors…

Read more »

Front view of a young couple walking down terraced Street in Whitley Bay in the north-east of England they are heading into the town centre and deciding which shops to go to they are also holding hands and carrying bags over their shoulders.
Investing Articles

Why building a million-pound SIPP gets easier after £100k

Aiming to grow a seven-figure SIPP? Once you’ve got the first £100k, things get a lot easier thanks to the…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Turning a £20k ISA into a £2,400-a-year second income

Andrew Mackie outlines one of his core investing principles: building a second income through high-quality, sustainable dividend stocks.

Read more »

Two male friends are out in Tynemouth, North East UK. They are walking on a sidewalk and pushing their baby sons in strollers. They are wearing warm clothing.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to generate £30k a year passive income?

Harvey Jones gets out his calculator to work out how much passive income investors can earn from dividends in a…

Read more »

Lady wearing a head scarf looks over pages on company financials
Investing Articles

Is April a good time to start buying shares?

Wondering whether now's a good time to start buying shares to build wealth? History suggests it is, says Edward Sheldon.

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

How much passive income could a Stocks and Shares ISA pump out every year?

Regular investing inside a Stocks and Shares ISA could lead to the equivalent of £141 a week in tax-free passive…

Read more »

Fans of Warren Buffett taking his photo
Investing Articles

With the FTSE 100 down 5%+ investors should remember this legendary quote from Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as the greatest investor of all time. And he says that the best time to…

Read more »