Why I think the AstraZeneca share price could crush the FTSE 100 this year

AstraZeneca plc (LON: AZN) appears to offer better value for money than the FTSE 100.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the FTSE 100 having experienced weak performance in recent months, there appear to be a number of stocks which offer good value for money. One example is AstraZeneca (LSE: AZN). The pharmaceutical stock has slumped by 15% since mid-November, and could now offer a wide margin of safety.

With the company expected to return to profit growth in 2019, its valuation could become increasingly attractive. Alongside a stock which released a production update on Monday, it could offer FTSE 100-beating performance in 2019.

Low valuation

The stock in question is Petra Diamonds (LSE: PDL). Its production in the six months to 31 December was relatively solid, with it reaching consistent levels. During the period, its production increased by 10%, and it is on track to deliver full year production of between 3.8 and 4 Mcts. Rising production led to an increase in revenue of 8%, with it reaching $201.1m.

Rough diamond prices reduced by 4% on a like-for-like basis compared to the second half of the previous year. This was due to seasonal weakness. The product mix during the period, especially at the company’s Cullinan mine, yielded prices which were at the lower end of historical ranges.

Looking ahead, Petra Diamonds is expected to report a doubling of its earnings in the current year. This puts it on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1, which suggests that it offers a wide margin of safety. While its financial performance is likely to be relatively volatile, the company’s low valuation and growth potential could make it of interest to less risk-averse investors.

Improving outlook

While the performance of the AstraZeneca share price has disappointed of late, the company’s financial prospects are expected to improve. It is forecast to record a rise in earnings of 13% this year, which may lead to improving investor sentiment.

The company may also become more popular among investors as a result of the nature of its business. As a pharmaceutical stock, its financial performance may be less closely correlated to the wider economy than is the case for many of its FTSE 100 peers. Given that investors remain cautious about the outlook for the world economy, with risks such as a slowing China and rising US interest rates ahead, stocks with defensive characteristics could become increasingly popular.

Additionally, with AstraZeneca having long-term growth potential from investment in its pipeline, it may become an increasingly in-demand share. Its PEG ratio of 1.7 may not be among the lowest in the FTSE 100, but from a value perspective it seems to be fairly priced. Having outperformed the FTSE 100 by 36% in the last five years during an era when its earnings have consistently declined, a growing bottom line could mean that in 2019 and over the coming years it is able to beat the index by an even larger margin. As such, now could be the perfect time to buy it.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of AstraZeneca. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Asian man drinking coffee at home and looking at his phone
Investing Articles

Beating the S&P 500? I’d buy this FTSE 250 stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA

Beating the S&P 500's tricky, but Paul Summers is optimistic on this FTSE 250 stock's ability to deliver based on…

Read more »

Passive and Active: text from letters of the wooden alphabet on a green chalk board
Investing Articles

2 spectacular passive income stocks I’d feel confident going all in on

While it's true that diversification is key when it comes to safe and reliable investing, these two passive income stocks…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The easyJet share price is taking off. I think it could soar!

The easyJet share price is having a very good day. Paul Summers takes a look at the latest trading update…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

9 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

As the Rentokil share price dips on Q1 news, I ask if it’s time to buy

The Rentokil Initial share price has disappointed investors in the past 12 months. Could this be the year we get…

Read more »

Growth Shares

Could dirt cheap Volex be one of the best UK stocks to buy today?

When looking for stocks to buy, it can pay to seek out long-term growth potential at a reasonable price. One…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

Down 50% in 5 years, this is the FTSE 250 stock I want to buy now

Think the FTSE 100 is the only place to find top value dividend stocks? I think this FTSE 250 stock…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What will a general election mean for the UK stock market?

The Prime Minister must hold an election before 28 January 2025. Our writer considers what the consequences might be for…

Read more »