Why the Aviva share price could smash the FTSE 100 this year

Aviva plc (LON: AV) appears to have a solid growth outlook which could make it more attractive than the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Having risen by 10% in the last three months, Aviva (LSE: AV) has enjoyed a period of outperformance of the FTSE 100. It is 4% ahead of the index and appears to offer the potential to beat it over a long time period.

The company seems to have a solid strategy and a low valuation. Its dividend growth potential also appears to be high and as such, now could be the perfect time to buy it alongside a FTSE 250 company with long-term income appeal.

Improving prospects

Having made major changes to its business model in recent years, Aviva now appears to be in a relatively strong position to deliver earnings growth. The company’s restructuring has been significant, but has enabled it to access core markets and growth markets alike. This could lead to an improving financial outlook, with the company being well-placed in stable markets and emerging markets at the present time.

One potential catalyst over the medium term could be acquisitions. The company recently announced that it has around £3bn of excess capital which it is seeking to deploy over the next two financial years. This could mean that part of that sum is used for acquisitions – especially in the digital sphere. This could help to improve customer loyalty, while also allowing the company to remain highly innovative at a time when the industry is undergoing a period of rapid change.

Financial appeal

With Aviva trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 11, it seems to offer a wide margin of safety. The company is expected to yield 6% in the next financial year and since dividends are covered 1.9 times by profit, they seem to be highly sustainable. This suggests that dividend growth could be high – especially since the company is due to report a 7% rise in earnings in the next financial year.

Of course, Aviva is not the only dividend growth stock which could be worth buying right now. Reporting its half-year results on Tuesday was FTSE 250 technical products specialist stock Diploma (LSE: DPLM), which appears to have a bright income future.

Improving outlook

Diploma’s first half has been relatively positive. Revenue has increased by 8%, while adjusted operating profit has risen by 9%. It was able to capitalise on a strong global trading environment, with it delivering good performance despite currency headwinds.

Acquisitions look set to remain a key growth area for the business. While M&A activity has been limited in recent months due to stronger trading conditions, the company’s acquisition pipeline remains healthy.

Looking ahead, Diploma is forecast to report a rise in its bottom line of 10% in the current year, followed by further growth of 5% next year. Dividends per share are expected to rise by 19% over the next two years and while the company may have a forward yield of just 2.3%, dividend payments are covered 2.1 times by profit. This suggests that further growth could be ahead over the medium term, which may have a positive effect on the company’s share price and allow it to outperform the wider index.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Aviva. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Artillery rocket system aimed to the sky and soldiers at sunset.
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in BAE Systems shares 10 days ago is now worth…

Why have BAE Systems shares experienced a sudden double-digit pullback? And does this present a buying opportunity for my portfolio?

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in easyJet shares 4 weeks ago is now worth…

It's been a crazy month for easyJet shares. Here's what would have happened to an investor's £10,000 stake put to…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

Down 31%, is this a rare chance to buy Meta stock for my ISA cheaply?

After rising to near $800 in 2025, Meta stock has pulled back to around $550. Edward Sheldon looks at whether…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

18% off its peak, is Nvidia stock now attractively priced?

Nvidia stock has given up almost a fifth of the price it commanded at its peak over the past year.…

Read more »

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

The Aston Martin share price destruction helps illustrate 5 common investing mistakes!

The Aston Martin share price has been a disaster for investors. Christopher Ruane highlights a handful of lessons we can…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Dividend Shares

How this stock market correction can help boost a second income by 25%

Jon Smith explains how rising dividend yields across some existing income shares can be seen as an opportunity to grow…

Read more »

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

Considering a SIPP? Today’s market could provide an excellent opportunity to start

Mark Hartley breaks down the benefits of using a SIPP for retirement, and how current market conditions could offer a…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

Looking for last-minute ISA ideas? Check out these UK stocks before April 3

Easter bank holidays mean the deadline to put cash into a Stocks and Shares ISA might be closer than UK…

Read more »