Are UK housebuilders a gift for value investors right now?

There’s a lot to attract value investors to stocks like Barratt Redrow, Persimmon, and Taylor Wimpey. But are rising inventory levels a warning sign?

| More on:
Housing development near Dunstable, UK

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A number of value investors have been taking an interest in UK stocks recently. And housebuilders in particular have been catching the eye of international fund managers.

One example is Bellway (LSE:BWY). The stock is trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio below 1, but a look at the company’s track record actually paints quite an impressive picture.

UK housebuilding

The UK’s long-term shortage of housing is well-documented. And within this promising market, Bellway occupies an interesting position. 

Its average selling price is between Persimmon and Barratt Redrow. This puts it in a position to appeal to both premium buyers trading down in a crisis or people trading up in a booming market.

The company also has an outstanding reputation for quality. It’s maintained a 5-star rating from the Home Builders Federation for almost a decade, and was the Large Housebuilder of the Year in 2025.

In short, Bellway offers customers high-quality properties and relatively reasonable prices. And whether it’s the stock market or the housing market, that’s an attractive combination.

Growth

Bellway’s share price has gone nowhere in the last 10 years, but investors should look at the business. Revenue growth has been slow, but the firm’s book value has increased much faster.

In 2015, the difference between the company’s assets and its liabilities was £1.5bn. Fast forward to 2025 and the gap has more than doubled to £3.6bn, despite the stagnant share price.

One reason for this is the firm’s approach to its balance sheet. Bellway has traditionally been more resilient than other housebuilders in downturns, but this comes at the cost of revenue growth. 

That might not be a bad thing over the long term. But there is another reason for the difference between sales growth and book value growth that’s a bit more concerning.

Assets

Like a lot of housebuilders, the majority of Bellway’s assets are inventory – these are essentially its land bank and its work in progress. And this is something investors need to be aware of.

Rising inventory levels can be a good thing. Houses aren’t built overnight, so companies need to have properties ready to go if demand suddenly picks up  – and this is what inventory provides.

There is, however, also a risk. It can be a sign that properties aren’t selling and having capital tied up in stock limits a company’s ability to invest in growth or return cash to shareholders. 

Bellway’s strong reputation for managing its balance sheet might mean it earns the benefit of the doubt. But high inventory levels do make a weak housing market more of a problem. 

A gift for value investors?

There are obvious reasons to be interested in the UK housing sector at the moment. And Bellway has a well-earned reputation for growing its book value while managing its risks carefully.

Despite this, I think investors need to tread carefully. Rising inventories represent potential future growth, but it needs the market to be strong enough to convert that into cash. 

That’s why my pick for the industry is Vistry Group. A focus on partnerships with housing providers, rather than open market sales, helps limit the build-up of excess inventory, which is why it’s the stock I’m buying.

Stephen Wright has positions in Vistry Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barratt Redrow, Persimmon Plc, and Vistry Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Growth Shares

This FTSE stock is primed to rally 65% according to the experts

Jon Smith raises an eyebrow after looking at multiple analyst forecasts for a FTSE share over the coming year and…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

Looking for UK stocks to buy for income? This one caught my eye!

On the hunt for stocks to buy, Christopher Ruane weighs some pros and cons of an investment trust with a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how much £10,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares could soon be worth

Rolls Royce shares are on P/E ratios above 30 for the next couple of years, and that could be good…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

£20,000 of savings? Here’s how that could ultimately generate a £672 monthly second income

How do some people manage to earn a second income without taking on another job? Christopher Ruane explores one potential…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

I’m targeting £1,768 a year in dividends from £12k in this high-yield UK income stock

Harvey Jones crunches the numbers to show how reinvesting dividends from this high-income UK stock could build a generous passive…

Read more »

Golden hand holding Number 2 foil balloon.
Investing Articles

2 UK stocks tipped to grow 50%+ over the next 12 months

Could these two UK stocks really grow by more than 50% over the next year? James Beard considers whether this…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Growth Shares

This FTSE 250 share is my early pick to get promoted to the FTSE 100 next month!

Jon Smith points out a FTSE 250 share that has been outperforming the index recently and could get a tap…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 233% but with a P/E of 17! So can the Barclays share price keep going?

Harvey Jones is hugely impressed by the stunning Barclays share price performance, but he's wondering how long it can conquer…

Read more »