Since September 2020, there are nine companies on the FTSE 100 that have seen their share prices rise by more than 300%. Of these, three have exposure to the military sector.
And it’s not just in the UK where increased defence spending is helping boost share prices of the industry’s contractors. The STOXX Europe Total Market Aerospace & Defense index has returned 318% over the same period. For comparison, European stocks as a whole have delivered a 50% increase.
Although I acknowledge that investing in the sector isn’t to everyone’s liking, I believe it’s the primary duty of a government to protect its people. And given the share price movements of the UK’s three biggest listed suppliers in the sector, others appear to agree with me.
Let’s take a closer look.
A finger in many pies
In 2024, Rolls-Royce Holdings generated 25% of its revenue and 26% of its underlying operating profit from its defence division.
And although this part of the business is performing well, I think it’s the post-pandemic recovery in air travel that has been the primary reason for the group’s share price increasing by more than 2,000% over the past five years.
An industry specialist
But there are two other FTSE 100 members that are pure defence stocks.
Controversially, the BAE Systems (LSE:BA.) share price has benefitted most from the tragic war in Ukraine. Like others in the industry, the majority of its revenue is earned from multi-year contracts. At 30 June, the group reported an order backlog of £75.4bn – roughly three times its annual sales.
It’s the biggest supplier to the Ministry of Defence so it should benefit from the government’s commitment to spend 2.5% of GDP on the UK’s army, navy and air force from April 2027.
However, the group’s stock isn’t cheap. Analysts are expecting earnings per share (EPS) in 2025 of 75p. If correct, this implies a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.9. This is well above the Footsie average. And with a yield of 1.7%, there are better income opportunities elsewhere.
But I think it’s operating in the right sector at the right time so I believe it’s a stock worthy of further consideration.
Another alternative
The other FTSE 100 defence company is Babcock International Group (LSE:BAB), having joined the index in March.
Last week (25 September), it gave a trading update ahead of its annual general meeting. Not surprisingly, it described the current macro environment as “supportive”.
Again, its shares are expensive. The stock has a forward (2025) P/E ratio of 24.9. But Europe-wide, the industry is trading at 31.6 times future earnings. So perhaps it’s not as unreasonable as it initially appears.
However, at 0.5%, its yield is even lower than that of BAE Systems.
Another concern I have is that the group has incurred significant losses on one of its contracts with the Royal Navy. Hopefully, lessons have been learned.
But it has a large (and growing) order book. And it says it’s on track (over the medium term) to raise its underlying operating profit margin from the 5.4% it achieved in its 2025 financial year to “at least 9%”. Analysts are expecting EPS to increase by 33% over the next three years.
For these reasons, I think it’s a stock that long-term investors could consider.
