This $185bn US growth stock is soaring on the back of AI – but is it a buy at this valuation?

Digital storage forms the backbone of the tech that’s driving AI, but is this rallying US growth stocks still worth buying after massive price growth?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been another bumper year for US growth stocks. The artificial intelligence (AI) gold rush is still in full swing, and while household names like Nvidia and AMD have dominated the headlines, it’s the smaller firms behind the scenes that keep the sector ticking.

One area quietly enjoying explosive growth is data storage. After all, every chatbot, server and AI model needs somewhere to stash its ones and zeroes. That’s where companies such as Seagate Technology (NASDAQ: STX) and Western Digital come in. These are the digital storage giants — and one of them is absolutely flying in 2025.

The surging contender

Seagate has emerged as a top-performing US growth stock this year, with the share price up 70% year to date. Earnings growth has followed suit, soaring 343% over the past 12 months.

What’s driving this? Primarily, increasing demand from cloud computing firms and AI developers who need enterprise-level storage at scale. Seagate sits squarely in that sweet spot.

Yet despite the meteoric rise, its valuation remains appealing. The trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 21.8, with a forward P/E of just 14.3, suggesting the market expects further earnings growth ahead.

Add in a 1.9% dividend yield – relatively high for US growth stocks – and there’s something here for income seekers too. The payout’s well covered, with a ratio of just 42.2%, and it has a respectable 15-year track record of uninterrupted payments.

What’s the catch?

Like most high-growth tech firms, the balance sheet isn’t bulletproof. Seagate carries $5.37bn in debt, and its $8.48bn in total liabilities outweighs total assets of $8bn.

Operating cash flow sits at just $1.08bn, which doesn’t leave much room for error if earnings slip. Its quick ratio’s below 1, a red flag suggesting the company could struggle to meet short-term obligations if conditions tighten.

In other words, this is a business that depends heavily on continued growth. If demand for data storage slows, it could be in trouble.

How does it stack up to Western Digital?

Rival Western Digital operates in the same space and has performed reasonably well this year. But when comparing the two, Seagate looks stronger on nearly every key metric.

Revenue and earnings growth at Seagate far outpace Western Digital, which has seen relatively flat numbers in both areas. Return on capital employed (ROCE) is far higher at Seagate (33% vs 14.7%), pointing to superior capital efficiency. Net margins also favour Seagate, at 16% vs 13.9%.

However, Western Digital does have a slightly lower valuation, which adds growth potential. But it doesn’t pay a meaningful dividend and lacks the long-term track record that Seagate offers.

My verdict

Honestly, both companies are very closely matched. Seagate’s balance sheet raises some eyebrows, and with the stock up 70%, the easy money may have already been made. Western Digital may have more room for growth, but its earnings are lacklustre.

Still, for investors seeking fast-growing US growth stocks with strong fundamentals and AI exposure, I think both are worth considering – even at today’s prices.

Mark Hartley has positions in Advanced Micro Devices. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

New to investing in the stock market? Here’s how to try to beat the Martin Lewis method!

Martin Lewis is now talking about stock market investing. Index funds are great, but going beyond them can yield amazing…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

This superb passive income star now has a dividend yield of 10.4%!

This standout passive income gem now generates an annual dividend return higher than the ‘magic’ 10% figure, and consensus forecasts…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Tesco shares on 1 January 2025 is now worth…

Tesco shares proved a spectacular investment this year, rising 18.3% since New Year's Day. And the FTSE 100 stock isn't…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

With 55% earnings growth forecast, here’s where Vodafone’s share price ‘should’ be trading…

Consensus forecasts point to 55% annual earnings growth to 2028. With a strategic shift ongoing, how undervalued is Vodafone’s share…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m targeting £12,959 a year in my retirement from £20,000 in this ultra-high yielding FTSE 100 income share…

Analysts forecast this high-yield FTSE 100 income share will deliver rising dividends and capital gains, making it a powerful long-term…

Read more »

A senior man using hiking poles, on a hike on a coastal path along the coastline of Cornwall. He is looking away from the camera at the view.
Investing Articles

Is Diageo quietly turning into a top dividend share like British American Tobacco?

Smoking may be dying out but British American Tobacco remains a top dividend share. Harvey Jones wonders if ailing spirits…

Read more »

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

Just released: our 3 top income-focused stocks to consider buying in December [PREMIUM PICKS]

Our goal here is to highlight some of our past recommendations that we think are of particular interest today, due…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Tesco’s share price: is boring brilliant?

Tesco delivers steady profits, dividends, and market share gains. So is its share price undervaluing the resilience of Britain’s biggest…

Read more »