The ECB rate cut could impact FTSE shares: what does it mean for UK investors?

Could FTSE shares with EU exposure benefit from this week’s ECB rate cuts? Mark Hartley thinks so, eyeing one company in particular.

| More on:
Cargo containers with European Union and British flags reflecting Brexit and restrictions in export and import

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

sdf

Earlier this week, on 5 June 2025, the European Central Bank (ECB) implemented its eighth consecutive interest rate cut. With many British companies doing business in the EU, the move could have a notable impact on some FTSE shares.

The decision to reduce the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2% is of particular importance. The move aims to stimulate the eurozone economy amid slowing inflation and persistent trade tensions. 

Let’s have a look at how this development could carry significant implications for UK investors.

FTSE 100’s response to the ECB’s decision

Following the ECB’s announcement, the FTSE 100 briefly climbed 0.26% before retracing and eventually closing up 9.75 points, or 0.1%. This reaction reflects cautious optimism among investors, as lower eurozone interest rates could bolster European demand.

If the cuts lead to increased consumer spending and business investment within the region, then it would benefit UK exporters and multinational companies listed on the FTSE.

UK companies with substantial operations or sales in Europe, such as Unilever and Diageo, may see improved earnings prospects due to heightened demand. Moreover, a stronger euro could enhance the competitiveness of UK exports, further supporting revenue growth for these firms.

Sector-specific opportunities

There are several sectors that could stand to benefit from the cuts. Consumer goods companies like Reckitt Benckiser and British American Tobacco are likely to enjoy increased sales in the eurozone as consumer spending rises. Lower interest rates may stimulate borrowing and investment activities, potentially benefiting UK-based financial institutions with European exposure.

Even firms involved in manufacturing and industrial services might experience increased demand for their products as eurozone businesses invest in capital goods. 

But one UK company I think is perfectly positioned to see a boost is 3i Group (LSE: III).

The private equity investor

3i Group is a leading investment company specialising in private equity and infrastructure, with a substantial focus on mid-market companies in Europe and North America. Its largest investment is a 57.9% stake in Action, a rapidly expanding Dutch discount retailer operating over 2,900 stores across multiple European countries.

If the rate cuts stimulate consumer spending as planned, budget retailers like Action should see a boost in profits. Plus, reduced borrowing costs can help drive further expansion and operational investments for other companies within 3i’s portfolio. The stock price is now up 360% over the past five years, having climbed a further 3% since the announcement.

However, 3i’s heavy reliance on Action adds a level of risk, as any underperformance from this one company could significantly affect overall returns. Valuation and liquidity risks are also worth noting. Since many of its investments are privately held and valued using internal models, they may not reflect real-world sale prices in tougher market conditions. 

These are unusual risk factors that investors should be aware of.

My opinion

Overall, I think the ECB’s rate reduction could result in a net benefit for UK companies like 3i Group. Enhanced consumer spending and lower financing costs are the key advantages that could drive growth, making it a stock worth considering this month. 

However, investors should also remain attentive to the evolving economic landscape as other central banks prepare to make rate-cut decisions.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Mark Hartley has positions in 3i Group Plc, British American Tobacco P.l.c., Diageo Plc, Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc, and Unilever. The Motley Fool UK has recommended British American Tobacco P.l.c., Diageo Plc, Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc, and Unilever. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

Investors should consider this growth stock… it’s SpaceX’s competition

There are few cooler places to find a growth stock than in space industries. Sadly, Elon Musk’s SpaceX isn’t publicly…

Read more »

photo of Union Jack flags bunting in local street party
Investing Articles

Down 97% and 69%! Should I buy either of these 2 iconic FTSE 250 shares?

This pair of FTSE 250 stocks are household names yet have declined significantly over the past few years. Is there…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman looking out of the window with a look of consternation on her face
Investing Articles

3 huge lessons I’ve learned from buying FTSE 100 income stocks!

Harvey Jones has been loading up his portfolio with UK dividend income stocks, and has been pleased with the results.…

Read more »

Pakistani multi generation family sitting around a table in a garden in Middlesbourgh, North East of England.
Investing Articles

Taylor Wimpey shares are down 20% and yield 8%! Is this the perfect recovery stock?

Harvey Jones is the first to admit that his Taylor Wimpey shares have been disappointing. But while he waits for…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Up 82% in 12 months, this dividend stock still has a 5.5% yield!

This dividend stock has given investors growth and a strong yield in recent years. Dr James Fox explores whether there’s…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

Over the last 3 years, this British investment fund has delivered nearly double the return of the FTSE 100

Thanks to his specific investment approach, this British fund manager has beaten the FTSE by a wide margin over the…

Read more »

Emma Raducanu for Vodafone billboard animation at Piccadilly Circus, London
Investing Articles

Analysts reckon the Vodafone share price is still undervalued!

Our writer’s been looking at the latest Vodafone share price forecasts and assesses how the group’s performed against the targets…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Considering a Stocks & Shares ISA in 2025? Make sure to avoid these pitfalls

Mark Hartley outlines a few basic tips for investors to ensure opening a first-time Stock and Shares ISA goes as…

Read more »