Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

Why is Apple stock lagging the S&P 500 in 2025?

Our writer is wondering whether now might be an opportune time to snap up shares of the largest company in the S&P 500 index.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Following Nvidia stock’s recent dip, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has once again taken the crown of the S&P 500‘s largest company. This is the case even after the iPhone maker’s 9.3% year-to-date share price fall. The stock underperformed the index in the process.

Having said that, I’m sure longer-term shareholders aren’t too worried. Apple stock is still up 270% in five years, pushing the market cap well above $3trn.

For context, that’s over than 100 times larger than Nokia, the firm that Apple disrupted with the launch of the groundbreaking iPhone in 2007.

What’s going on?

There seem to be a few reasons why Apple stock has paused for a well-deserved breather in 2025.

For starters, the technology sector has suffered a sell-off in the past couple of weeks. President Trump’s on-off tariffs are causing uncertainty in the stock market, and they could even impact the firm’s earnings at some point. While these risks linger, the Apple share price is likely to be volatile.

Also, the stock is trading at 34 times earnings, which is a premium to the already pricey S&P 500. So there might be a concern about valuation here. And this was likely a factor in Warren Buffett’s decision to cut his giant stake to less than half what it was.

Finally, Apple has suffered a slowdown in iPhone sales, especially in China. This is down to increased competition and market saturation, as well delays in rolling out significant AI upgrades for its devices.

AI teething problems

This last point is worth expanding on, as some investors fear that Apple might be losing ground as we move deeper into the AI age. It has released Apple Intelligence on the new iPhone 16, but the AI-equipped version of Siri has been delayed due to glitches. This reportedly might not be out till next year now.

While this is clearly far from ideal, I think the company has time and will get this right. After all, it will take several years for all 2bn+ iOS users to upgrade to devices with advanced AI capabilities.

Apple has said its AI features will prioritise keeping data on users’ devices rather than in the cloud. This could attract users concerned about data privacy.

I suspect these are AI teething problems that will be largely forgotten about a few years from now. As a customer, it’s not a deal-breaker for me, as I’ll still be upgrading to a new Apple phone soon. I’m more than happy to be locked into the firm’s incredibly sticky ecosystem.

Will I buy the stock then?

Analysts expect revenue and earnings per share to grow 4.6% and 8.6% respectively this year. That’s not particularly high growth for a stock that is trading at 29 times forward earnings.

Of course, it goes without saying that Apple is an incredible company and brand. It generated over $100bn in free cash flow last year and announced a $110bn share buyback programme in May. That was the largest in US corporate history!

However, due to the premium valuation and modest top-line growth, I’m in no rush to buy Apple shares today. I think there are potentially better options for my portfolio.

Ben McPoland has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Apple and Nvidia. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

3 Warren Buffett investing ideas I plan to use in 2026

After decades in the top job at Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett is preparing to step aside. But this writer will…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

Looking to earn a second income next year (and every year)? Here’s one approach.

Christopher Ruane explains how some prudent investment decisions now could potentially help set someone up with a second income in…

Read more »

Senior woman potting plant in garden at home
Investing Articles

Could a 10%+ yielding dividend share like this make sense for a retirement portfolio?

With a double-digit percentage yield, could this FTSE 250 share be worth considering for a retirement portfolio? Our writer weighs…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Forget Rigetti and IonQ: here’s a quantum computing growth stock that actually looks cheap

Edward Sheldon has found a growth stock in the quantum computing space with lots of potential and a really attractive…

Read more »

UK money in a Jar on a background
Investing Articles

Here’s a £3 a day passive income plan for 2026!

Looking for a simple and cheap plan to try and earn passive income in 2026 and beyond? Christopher Ruane shares…

Read more »

Blue NIO sports car in Oslo showroom
Investing Articles

NIO stock’s down 35% since October. Time to buy?

NIO stock has had a roller coaster year so far! Christopher Ruane looks at some of the highs and lows…

Read more »

Investing Articles

By December 2026, £1,000 invested in BAE Systems shares could be worth…

Where will BAE Systems shares be in a year's time? Here is our Foolish author's review of the latest analyst…

Read more »

Mature people enjoying time together during road trip
Investing Articles

Keen for early retirement with a second income from dividends? Here’s how much you might need to invest

Ditching the office job early is a dream of many, but without a second income, is it possible? Here’s how…

Read more »