The Scottish Mortgage share price is smashing the FTSE 100 again

Year to date, the Scottish Mortgage share price has risen far more than the Footsie has. Edward Sheldon expects this trend to continue.

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The Scottish Mortgage (LSE: SMT) share price is on a tear at the moment. This year, it’s climbed about 15%, versus a 4% gain for the FTSE 100 index.

I’m not surprised by this outperformance. At the start of this year, I bought a ton of Scottish Mortgage shares for my Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP), expecting the share price to rip in 2024.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL6 Apr 20204 Apr 2025Zoom ▾Jul '20Jan '21Jul '21Jan '22Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '2520212021202220222023202320242024202520255007501000125015001750www.fool.co.uk

Exposure to the digital revolution

The world today is in the midst of a powerful digital revolution and the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust provides exposure to it. A growth-focused investment trust, it has positions in stocks such as Amazon, Nvidia, ASML, Meta Platforms, and Tesla – all of which are at the heart of the revolution.

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These companies operate in (and dominate) industries like artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, computer chips, online shopping, self-driving cars, and social media.

Today, these industries are all growing at a rapid rate as the world becomes increasingly digital, and this is creating a lot of opportunities for long-term investors like myself.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Nvidia PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.co.uk

The FTSE 100, by contrast, hardly has any exposure to technology (the latest factsheet says that the tech sector represents just 1.2% of the index!).

Currently, the Footsie’s dominated by banks, oil companies, tobacco companies, and consumer goods businesses – all ‘old economy’ stocks. Unfortunately, there’s not a lot of growth within these types of industries any more.

Of course, the FTSE 100 does have some great individual businesses that are exposed to the digital revolution. London Stock Exchange Group and Sage are two examples here (both of which I have shares in).

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3London Stock Exchange Group Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.co.uk

But as a whole, it’s a sluggish index. And anyone invested in a fund that’s tracking it isn’t getting much exposure to the digital revolution.

Exciting outlook

Looking ahead, I remain as bullish on Scottish Mortgage shares as I was at the start of this year. Zooming in on the holdings, there’s a lot of growth potential.

Amazon – the second largest holding at 31 October – is a great example. In the years ahead, it’s likely to generate substantial revenue and profit growth as the online shopping, digital advertising, and cloud computing markets grow.

Another stock I’m excited about is ASML. It makes sophisticated equipment for chip manufacturers, allowing them to print complex designs onto silicon wafers. And it’s likely to get some big orders in the years ahead as demand for complex AI chips rises.

Then we have Tesla. It’s aiming to get self-driving cars and taxis on the road so we could see some huge growth here.

I’ll point out that I expect the Scottish Mortgage share price to be volatile in the years ahead, given its focus on tech stocks. If the stock market experiences a pullback, it could fall more than the broader market (and significantly more than the FTSE 100 index).

One more specific risk is interest rates. If rates were to rise due to inflation, the valuations of tech companies may fall like they did in 2022 (because the present value of their future earnings would be worth less).

Taking a five-10-year view however, I’m very bullish on this investment trust. I expect it to generate strong returns for my SIPP as the world becomes increasingly digital.

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Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Edward Sheldon has positions in ASML, Amazon, London Stock Exchange Group Plc, Nvidia, Sage Group Plc, and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended ASML, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Sage Group Plc, and Tesla. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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