2 FTSE 100 dividend shares I’m avoiding in July!

These FTSE 100 income shares offer yields that soar above the index’s 3.8% forward average. So why won’t our writer buy them today?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Young Caucasian man making doubtful face at camera

Image source: Getty Images

The FTSE 100 is packed with top dividend shares to buy right now. However, London’s premier stock index also contains many value traps that are waiting to catch investors out.

Here are two large-cap UK shares I won’t touch with a bargepole.

Barclays

Rising interest rates have boosted the profits that Barclays (LSE:BARC) and its peers have made from their lending activities. At the moment these they required to pass on the benefits of higher rates to savers, meaning the difference in the interest they pay out and what they charge borrowers has ballooned.

This is known as the net interest margin (NIM). And stubbornly high inflation means the Bank of England’s benchmark is on course to keep rising in the second half too, pushing the margin ever higher.

But the likes of Barclays — whose NIM rose 0.56% in the first quarter, to 3.18% — are under increasing pressure to raise interest rates. The Financial Conduct Authority is to meet with the heads of Britain’s biggest banks this week and has the power to change rules if it chooses.

This would be a big concern to me as an investor in one of the UK’s big banks. These businesses may struggle to generate profits otherwise as weak economic conditions damage demand for their financial products. Barclays and its peers also face a tough time as loan impairments grow (bad loans here jumped by £113m in the first quarter).

Today Barclays shares trade on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 4.7 times. They also carry a 5.9% dividend yield. But the banks cheap valuation reflects the high level of risk it exposes investors to.

BT Group

Telecoms giant BT Group (LSE:BT-A) faces some of the same challenges as Barclays. This is why I’m also avoiding it despite its low P/E ratio of 6.8 times for 2023 and its bulky 6% dividend yield.

Like the FTSE bank, it has no overseas exposure to help it grow profits when the UK economy struggles. This is one reason why revenues and pre-tax profits dropped 1% and 12% during the 12 months to March.

BT also operates in a highly competitive market where regulatory pressure is rising. In fact Ofcom is taking an increased interest in the activities of the sectors largest players.

The regulator has launched investigations into contract sales at telecoms businesses and the inflation-busting price hikes they introduced during spring. More trouble could be coming their way down the line as criticism over service levels rise.

I’m also concerned about the colossal amount of net debt the FTSE firm has on its books (£18.6bn as of March). The huge cost of its 5G and broadband rollout programme means levels could continue climbing. This could put the company’s growth plans and future dividend levels under pressure.

On the other hand, BT’s expansion programme could give it the edge against its rivals. It could also give profits a huge boost in what our increasingly digital-dependent age. Yet on balance I believe the risks of buying this dividend stock are too high.

Royston Wild has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

How much is needed in a SIPP to target a £25,095.20 annual income

Harvey Jones says building a portfolio of top UK stocks in a SIPP can help build a passive income that's…

Read more »

Diverse group of friends cheering sport at bar together
Investing Articles

How could the latest Barclays share buybacks impact investors?

After a further 26.7m in buybacks, Mark Hartley looks at how the development could impact the Barclays share price and…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

The BP share price is on fire! Is there still time to buy?

Harvey Jones says the BP share price is climbing again today, after profits more than doubled in the first quarter.…

Read more »

British union jack flag and Parliament house at city of Westminster in the background
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in a FTSE 100 index tracker 3 years ago is now worth…

The FTSE 100 index has been on fire in recent years. Yet this Footsie stock has crashed 33% in 12…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

Will BAE Systems shares soar with its foray into the ‘space industry’?

A new announcement from BAE Systems shares could have a big impact on the shares. Our Foolish author takes a…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

2 bank shares to consider buying before Lloyds in May

Lloyds shares have made investors wealthier recently. But our writer thinks these two bank stocks have significantly more growth potential.

Read more »

Investing Articles

Where next for the Barclays share price, after Q1 fails to inspire?

I've been eagerly awaiting first-quarter bank results season. But judging by the Barclays share price reaction, sentiment appears lukewarm.

Read more »

Red lorry on M1 motorway in motion near London
Investing Articles

Is this little-known $5 stock the next Tesla?

An obscure Nasdaq growth stock has some similarities with an early Tesla. Should I have a punt in case it…

Read more »