Is Warren Buffett preparing for a stock market crash?

Warren Buffett’s enormous pile of cash suggests he’s getting ready to capitalise on the next stock market crash, in my opinion.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM

Image source: The Motley Fool

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) investment vehicle has always held a large cash balance on its books. And even after the billionaire investor’s latest $51bn shopping spree earlier this year, the firm’s cash balance is still above $100bn!

This degree of financial liquidity is one of the main reasons some shareholders are pushing for a dividend. But with fears of stagflation on the rise, is he actually planning ahead for a potential stock market crash?

Warren Buffett’s treasure hoard

At the end of 2021, Berkshire Hathaway held just over $146bn in cash & equivalent assets and short-term treasury bills. Following the start of the stock market correction in 2022, Buffett and his team spent over $51bn buying stocks.

The list of companies included Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, HP Inc, Apple, and Activision Blizzard. The decision to invest in Activision raised a few eyebrows since it appears to be an arbitrage investment, betting on Microsoft’s successful acquisition of the company. That’s quite an unusual move that has yet to pay off.

Overall, it was one of his most active buying quarters since the 2008 financial crisis. Skip ahead to the second quarter, and the spending pattern changes a bit. Berkshire remained a net buyer of stocks, spending a net $3.8bn on acquiring more shares in Apple, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and a handful of others. But that’s significantly less than a quarter ago.

Looking at the second quarter earnings, the impact of the 2022 stock market correction can be clearly felt, with the group posting a $53bn loss on its investments. It’s possible that as the economic situation worsened, Buffett and his team began tightening their belts. And then plan on buying more shares once the stock market tumbles further, or potentially even crashes.

It’s worth reiterating that even after all the investments made so far this year, the group still has around $105bn in cash at its disposal.

Planning for the next stock market crash

Looking at the latest activity from Berkshire Hathaway, it’s clear that Buffett continues to deploy his famous strategy of “be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy”.

The firm may be taking big hits to its equity portfolio today, but in the long-term, the group has a tendency to realise enormous gains from buying when prices are in free-fall.

Some investors like to buy shares in Berkshire, or copy its portfolio to tap into the proceeds of Buffett’s investing tactics. However, personally, I prefer to apply his principles to search for explosive long-term winners. Even here in the UK there are undoubtedly countless high-quality businesses with wide competitive moats currently trading at a discount.

Being able to identify these stocks is easier said than done. But by having some cash in reserve, as Buffett does, investors can capitalise on stock market downturns. And by buying top-tier businesses while they’re cheap, they can enjoy impressive returns once the stock market rally inevitably begins. At least, that’s what I think.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Apple and Microsoft. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

2 dirt cheap FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 growth shares to consider!

Looking for great growth and value shares right now? These FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 shares could offer the best…

Read more »

Investing Articles

No savings? I’d use the Warren Buffett method to target big passive income

This Fool looks at a couple of key elements of Warren Buffett's investing philosophy that he thinks can help him…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 hidden gem is quietly taking things to the next level

After making it to the FTSE 100 index last year, Howden Joinery Group looks to be setting its sights on…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A £20k Stocks and Shares ISA put into a FTSE 250 tracker 10 years ago could be worth this much now

The idea of a Stocks and Shares ISA can scare a lot of people away. But here's a way to…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

What next for the Lloyds share price, after a 25% climb in 2024?

First-half results didn't do much to help the Lloyds Bank share price. What might the rest of the year and…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’ve got my eye on this FTSE 250 company

The FTSE 250's full of opportunities for investors willing to do the search legwork, and I think I've found one…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 stock has smashed Nvidia shares in 2024. Is it still worth me buying?

Flying under most investors' radars, this FTSE 250 stock has even outperformed the US chip maker year-to-date. Where will its…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£11k stashed away? I’d use it to target a £1,173 monthly passive income starting now

Harvey Jones reckons dividend-paying FTSE 100 shares are a great way to build a long-term passive income with minimal effort.

Read more »