Is the falling Superdry share price an opportunity or one to avoid?

Jabran Khan delves deeper into the tumbling Superdry share price and decides if the stock is an opportunity or a value trap.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Young mixed-race woman looking out of the window with a look of consternation on her face

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I noticed that Superdry (LSE:SDRY) shares are still on a downward spiral. I want to explore if the share price at current levels is an opportunity to buy cheap shares for my portfolio with a view to a longer term recovery. Let’s take a look to help me decide if I should add the shares to my holdings.

Superdry share price continues to fall

As a quick reminder, Superdry is a UK-based clothing brand with an extensive presence operating over 700 branded stores across 61 countries. Its products combine vintage American style with Japanese-inspired graphics.

So what’s the current state of play with Superdry shares? Well, as I write, the shares are trading for 134p. At this time last year, the stock was trading for 385p, which is a significant 65% decrease over a 12-month period.

The bull and bear case

Superdry has seen its brand recognition and performance fall by the wayside in recent years. I admit I used to own many Superdry items many years ago whereas now I wouldn’t consider them. I suppose this is the nature of fashion, trends change. The rise of online fast fashion has hurt brands like Superdry massively too. Online disruptors with their cost-effective alternatives have surpassed more traditional retailers like Superdry.

Looking at performance, I can see Superdry’s revenue and profit has been falling year on year for some time now. This is not a great omen from an investment point of view.

Superdry has attempted to take steps to regain traction, and boost performance levels. In recent times, it released a series of new collections to try and appeal to the masses once more. Personally, I’m not sure this will be enough to kick start a recovery.

In respect to the business side of things, Superdry has looked to increase efficiencies and cut costs. It has decided to utilise robot technology to streamline operations in its warehouses. This initiative could help cut costs and boost an ailing balance sheet.

Another potential positive I noted was that Superdry CEO Julian Dunkerton purchased over £1m worth of shares at the end of May. Insiders buying shares is usually viewed as positive. This is because if those charged with the success of the business, who have the inside track, are willing to part with their cash, then perhaps investors like me should follow suit.

My verdict

Reviewing the investment case, I would not add Superdry shares to my holdings. The negatives outweigh the positives for me. Furthermore, macroeconomic headwinds such as rising costs and the supply chain crisis could have a further detrimental impact on the business. Rising costs could squeeze profit margins that are already under pressure. The supply chain crisis could affect operations and sales.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Superdry share price fall further and I believe it could be a long, tough road back for it. There are better stocks out there that I plan to add to my holdings that have better growth prospects and already provide consistent and stable returns.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jabran Khan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A front-view shot of a multi-ethnic family with two children walking down a city street on a cold December night.
Investing Articles

Want to make your grandchildren rich? Consider buying these UK stocks

Four Fool UK writers share the stocks that they believe have a lot of runway to grow over the long…

Read more »

Investing Articles

1 penny stock with the potential to change the way the world works forever!

Sumayya Mansoor breaks down this potentially exciting penny stock and explains how it could impact food consumption.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 stocks to consider buying for powerful passive income

Our writer explains why investors should be looking at these two FTSE 250 picks for juicy dividends and growth.

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Growth Shares

This forgotten FTSE 100 stock is up 25% in a year

Jon Smith outlines one FTSE 100 stock that doubled in value back in 2020 but that has since fallen out…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

2 dividend shares I wouldn’t touch with a bargepole in today’s stock market

The stock market is full of fantastic dividend shares that can deliver rising passive income over time. But I don't…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing Articles

Use £20K to earn a £2K annual second income within 2 years? Here’s how!

Christopher Ruane outlines how he'd target a second income of several thousand pounds annually by investing in a Stocks and…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Here’s what a FTSE 100 exit could mean for the Shell share price

As the oil major suggests quitting London for New York, Charlie Carman considers what impact such a move could have…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

Shell hints at UK exit: will the BP share price take a hit?

I’m checking the pulse of the BP share price after UK markets reeled recently at the mere thought of FTSE…

Read more »