2022 dividend forecasts: are these 3 FTSE 100 stocks a buy?

I’m looking to see which stocks have the greatest dividend forecasts for the year ahead. Here are three I’m considering with double-digit yields.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Close-up of British bank notes

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I’m looking ahead to 2022 to see which FTSE 100 stocks have the highest dividend forecasts. These three shares have the highest forecasted yields out of the whole FTSE 100 index.

Let’s take a look to see if I should buy them for my income portfolio.

A FTSE 100 dividend stock

The company with the highest forecast dividend yield is Evraz (LSE: EVR) with an eye-popping forward-looking yield of 20% as I write. Now, with a dividend yield this high, I question just how sustainable it will be. It’s perhaps too high at this level.

Evraz operates in the mining sector, specifically as a miner of iron ore and coal, while also manufacturing steel. In the half-year report to 30 June, net profit surged to $1.2bn, which increased from $513m in the same period one year ago. Management said higher steel, vanadium and coal sales prices were factors leading to the outstanding performance.

However, Evraz hasn’t always paid a dividend in recent times. The company depends on one area of the commodity market, namely steel. If steel prices do fall then Evraz’s profits will decline, which will likely lead to a reduction in the dividend. Indeed, management noted some caution over “a possible correction in steel prices” in the half-year report.

I’m going to sit this one out for now as I think there are less risky dividend stocks to consider.

A ‘safer’ FTSE 100 mining stock

I’m also looking at Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO), another FTSE 100 mining stock. Only here, the company is diversified across the commodity markets in both industrial and precious metal mining. 

Rio Tinto has benefited from a boom in economic growth since the pandemic last year. This has boosted company profits, and then its ability to pay above-average dividends. But with the dividend forecast being for a huge 17% yield, so again, I don’t expect this to be maintained. 

Rio Tinto has consistently paid a dividend though. In fact, the last dividend payment it missed was in 2009, just after the financial crisis. Nevertheless, the company is still cyclical, and demand can fall quite drastically if economic growth begins to slow. It’s a key risk to consider before I invest.

On balance, I think Rio Tinto is the safer mining stock with a double-digit forecasted yield. I’d buy the shares for my portfolio.

Savings and investment

The last company is M&G (LSE: MNG). It’s a savings and investment company, and in 2019 it completed a demerger from Prudential.

The current dividend yield forecast is almost 11%, which makes it the third-largest dividend forecast in the FTSE 100. It’s paid a dividend every year since the demerger completed, albeit this is only since 2019. The company is also able to generate double-digit returns on its equity, which can be a sign of a quality business.

The risk with M&G is that business performance is tied to its assets under management (AUM). Performance can decline when financial markets fall, or even worse, crash. This will lower the fees the company can generate on its AUM, and therefore its dividend would likely be cut. 

M&G’s management is committed to its dividend policy though, so I still see this as a strong dividend stock to consider for my portfolio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Dan Appleby owns shares of Rio Tinto. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 defence stock looks like a hidden growth gem to me

With countries hiking defence spending as the world grows more insecure, this FTSE 250 firm has seen surging orders and…

Read more »

Bronze bull and bear figurines
Investing Articles

1 hidden dividend superstar I’d buy over Lloyds shares right now

My stock screener flagged that I should sell my Lloyds shares and buy more Phoenix Group Holdings for three key…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

A solid track record and 5.4% yield, this is my top dividend stock pick for May

A great dividend stock is about more than its yield. When hunting for dividend heroes, I look at several metrics…

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£8k in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to retire with an annual passive income of £30,000

Getting old needn't be a struggle. Even with a small pot of savings, it's possible to build up a decent…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Down 50% in a year! Are the FTSE’s 2 worst performers the best shares to buy today?

Harvey Jones is looking for the best shares to buy for his portfolio today and wonders whether these two FTSE…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Is FTSE 8,000+ the turning point for UK shares?

On Tuesday 23 April, the FTSE 100 hit a new record high, in a St George's Day celebration. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a ton of passive income from £20k in an ISA

To get the best passive income from an ISA, I think we need to balance risk with the potential rewards.…

Read more »

Abstract bull climbing indicators on stock chart
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 100 stocks I’d buy as the blue-chip index hits record highs

This Fool takes a look at a pair of quality FTSE 100 stocks that appear well-positioned for future gains, despite…

Read more »