BP isn’t the only FTSE 100 stock I’ll be watching in August

FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) stock BP plc (LON:BP) will likely be getting a lot of attention from investors in August. It’s not alone.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

sdf

Based on Thursday’s numbers from index and industry peer Royal Dutch Shell, FTSE 100 oil giant BP (LSE: BP) is one stock I’ll be watching closely next month. Having said this, it’s not the only top-tier member I plan to check in on in August.

Earnings rebound

Earlier this week, Shell revealed a strong set of results. A sizeable recovery in earnings over Q2 was recorded, prompting free cash flow to soar. As one might expect, the BP share price rose by association. I wonder if there could be more to come in the next few days. The FTSE 100 titan is scheduled to provide an update on its second quarter on 3 August.

This is not to say that BP is a one-way bet. A rising oil price is beneficial, but last year showed how volatile a commodity like black gold can be. On a longer timeline, it seems inevitable that demand will drop as the cost of buying electric vehicles falls. BP’s need to adapt won’t come cheap either. This might help explain why the shares are still far below pre-pandemic levels.

On the other hand, one might say that a P/E of just 8 suggests these potential headwinds are already priced in, especially if the company ends up beating analyst expectations next week. Even if it doesn’t, I suspect income investors won’t lose sleep. BP currently yields a forecast 5.1%. 

Hot market

York-based housebuilder Persimmon (LSE: PSN) also reports to the market next month. While we don’t know for sure what its half-year numbers on 18 August will be, we do know that UK property has been white-hot of late as more people show a desire to continue working from home.

I think the near-term performance of PSN will depend greatly on CEO Dean Finch’s commentary. Any suggestion that the withdrawal of stamp duty relief will impact trading at Persimmon could knock the share price.

Then again, it’s not as if Persimmon’s valuation looks stretched. As I type, the shares trade on a forecast P/E of 11. That still looks pretty cheap considering just how highly the company scores on quality-focused metrics. A temporary loss of momentum probably won’t bother dividend hunters either. Based on analyst projections, Persimmon offers a tempting 8% dividend yield. That’s among the biggest that one can find on the FTSE 100. 

Supercycle beneficiary

A final FTSE 100 stock I’ll be following in August is copper miner Antofagasta (LSE: ANTO). 

I’m not alone in being bullish on this company. Earlier this week, broker Peel Hunt upgraded the company based on its belief that supply of the red metal will remain restricted in 2022. This should keep copper prices high, boosting profits at ANTO. Looking further ahead, a mooted commodity ‘super cycle’ brought about by the green revolution could bring forth a raft of new investors.

To be clear, this is still risky stuff. Demand for metals such as copper is often correlated to perceptions of global economic health — clearly beyond ANTO’s control. As this month’s update showed, production is also variable and can be affected by weather as much as well as grades and recovery rates. This may help explain why shares have lost momentum over recent months.

All that said, a P/E of 15 looks reasonable to me considering how financially sound ANTO appears to be. 

Interim numbers are due on 19 August.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Paul Summers has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

This dividend stock offers a high 13.5% yield and could be 60% undervalued

An income stock with a very high yield, and with technology growth prospects, will carry risk too -- but it…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

Up 79% in 5 years, this UK travel stock is still a Strong Buy, according to brokers

Our writer thinks Hostelworld (LSE:HSW) is an interesting small-cap UK stock that might be worth considering for an ISA today.

Read more »

Happy young plus size woman sitting at kitchen table and watching tv series on tablet computer
Investing Articles

Looking for cheap growth shares? Here’s one I think investors MUST consider right now

Market jitters over the global economy mean many top growth shares continue to trade cheaply. Here's one of my favourite…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Dividend Shares

Buying 500 Vodafone shares could generate a passive income of…

Jon Smith explains why Vodafone stock still offers him an above-average dividend yield despite the recent dividend cut.

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing For Beginners

3 ways I’m trying to protect my FTSE stock portfolio from rising geopolitical tensions

Jon Smith talks through different measures, including buying gold-related FTSE stocks, that can help his portfolio ride out volatility.

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

As oil prices tick upwards, should investors buy BP shares?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at BP shares as oil prices push higher on the back of heightened…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

I love this grocer… so, should I buy Ocado shares?

Ocado shares are not looking healthy. The stock has truly been through the mill in recent years but is there…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Raspberry Pi shares 1 year ago are now worth…

The Raspberry Pi share price has been rather volatile over the past 12 months with investors trying to figure out…

Read more »