Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

Can the BT share price continue to rise?

The BT share price rose about 75% in the past year. Royston Roche makes a deep dive analysis of the stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The BT (LSE: BT.A) share price rose about 75% in the past year. The company has been one of the best-performing stocks in the FTSE 100 index this year.

reviewed the company earlier this year. The stock is up around 40% since I purchased it for my portfolio. Here, I would like to analyse the company to decide whether to hold or sell my shares.

BT company’s fundamentals

BT’s fiscal year 2021 revenue fell 7% to £21.3bn. This was in line with the management’s estimates of the impact of Covid-19. Net profit dropped 15% to £1.47bn. The company’s adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) came at £7.4bn, which was in line with the management estimate of £7.3bn to £7.5bn. Overall, in my opinion, the financial results were good. 

Next, the company’s modernisation programme is progressing well. It delivered gross annualised savings of £764m in the first year with an associated cost of £438m. It has a target to save £2bn with an associated cost of £1.3bn over a period of five years.

The UK government has increased its investment focus in the telecom sector. Also, Ofcom recently published the outcome of the Wholesale Fixed Telecoms Market Review, which was in favour of the company. It will give the company greater regulatory certainty and confidence to earn a fair return on its Fibre to the Premises) investment. 

BT was also able to get an additional 5G spectrum for £475m. The price was lower than the previous estimates. So, the company was able to get a refund of £227m. This will help the company’s efficient rollout of 5G services and increased the cash available for investment.

BT is considering selling BT Sports. Since its launch in 2013, it has increased its visibility in homes and pubs. However, it has been a drag on the company’s profits. The move is aimed to focus on BT’s core telephone business and investments in the full-fibre and 5G networks. This, in my opinion, will also increase profits.

The BT share price – risks to consider

The company has a net financial debt of £11.7bn compared to £11.3bn at the end of March 2020. I think this debt is high for the company. It has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.43. This is a bit of concern for me. 

The telecommunications markets are mature and highly competitive. This could put pressure on the company’s profits. It faces tough competition from Sky, Vodafone, and Virgin Media, among others. Not to mention the huge capital investments required to update with the latest technology. 

Final view

Taking all things into consideration, I think the positives outweigh the risks for the company. I believe that the BT share price will continue to rise and I have no plans to sell my shares today. 

Royston Roche owns shares in BT Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Here’s how much passive income someone could earn maxing out their ISA allowance for 5 years

Christopher Ruane considers how someone might spend a few years building up their Stocks and Shares ISA to try and…

Read more »

Man putting his card into an ATM machine while his son sits in a stroller beside him.
Investing Articles

Was I wrong about Barclays shares, up 196%?

Our writer has watched Barclays shares nearly triple in five years, but stayed on the sidelines. Is he now ready…

Read more »

Wall Street sign in New York City
Investing Articles

Up 17% in 2025, can the S&P 500 power on into 2026?

Why has the S&P 500 done so well this year against a backdrop of multiple challenges? Our writer explains --…

Read more »

National Grid engineers at a substation
Investing Articles

National Grid shares are up 19% in 2025. Why?

National Grid shares have risen by almost a fifth this year. So much for it being a sleepy utility! Should…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

Here are the potential dividend earnings from buying 1,000 Aviva shares for the next decade

Aviva has a juicy dividend -- but what might come next? Our writer digs into what the coming decade could…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Just released: our top 3 small-cap stocks to consider buying in December [PREMIUM PICKS]

Small-cap shares tend to be more volatile than larger companies, so we suggest investors should look to build up a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Is the unloved Aston Martin share price about to do a Rolls-Royce?

The Aston Martin share price has inflicted a world of pain on Harvey Jones, but he isn't giving up hope…

Read more »

Surprised Black girl holding teddy bear toy on Christmas
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to raise 1.7 children?

After discovering the cost of raising a child, James Beard explains why he thinks a Stocks and Shares ISA is…

Read more »