The Centrica share price: FTSE 100 bargain or value trap?

The Centrica share price has been a poor FTSE 100 investment in the past. But that could be about to change, says Rupert Hargreaves.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Centrica (LSE: CNA) share price has been a challenging FTSE 100 investment to own over the past few years. The British Gas owner has struggled to retain customers in the viciously competitive UK utility market. It’s also lost money from overseas ventures and its energy generation business.

These headwinds have hurt the company’s profitability and weighed on its share price. Over the past decade, the group has lost 80% of its market value and 3m customers. 

However, over the past 12 months, under the guidance of a new management team, the company has embarked on a transition programme. It has sold off non-core assets and used the funds received to reduce debt. Management is also planning to increase its role in the transition to green energy and boost investment in its connected homes business.

Unfortunately, I think it’s unlikely these efforts will lead to an immediate turnaround. Nevertheless, it’s clear to me the company has changed direction, which could be a big positive for the Centrica share price. 

FTSE 100 investment 

In a recent interview, the energy giant’s boss admitted the business wasn’t particularly well organised. He outlined excess layers of bureaucracy in a complex corporate structure as the key factors holding back its return to growth.

In the past, Centrica’s spending on consultants has averaged £1m a week. It also has 80 different contracts with its employees. These are just two of the complications the new boss wants to eradicate of over the next few years. 

If the strategy works, I think the Centrica share price could be undervalued at current levels. As well as streamlining its business model, the company wants to invest in its connected home business. This allows consumers and businesses to streamline their energy use. I think this kind of technology will become increasingly in demand as the world transitions towards a lower carbon future. 

Centrica is also investing in green energy technology. It’s looking into turning the UK’s largest natural gas storage unit into a carbon capture facility. Once again, I think these initiatives will help the company succeed in the green energy future. 

Centrica share price risks

Centrica has plenty of opportunities ahead of it, but I think there are also lots of risks to consider as well.  Management’s efforts to change employment contracts has lead to worker disputes.

What’s more, while the business is trying to develop its green ambitions, it still owns a share of an oil and gas joint venture. This has been up for sale for some time with no buyers emerging. The organisation could face high costs as it tries to exit this business. 

Other headwinds such as the government’s energy price cap and regulatory demands may also hurt profitability. 

As such, while I am optimistic about the outlook for the Centrica share price, I’m not a buyer of the stock today. I think the company needs to prove it’s well on the way to recovery before I buy. That could take some time.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing For Beginners

Experts think this penny stock could rise by 80% or more in the coming year

Jon Smith points out a penny stock that has the potential to soar this year if international expansion pays off,…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What next for Barclays shares, after this shock 15% slump?

What a tangled web we encounter when we look too deeply into the workings of the global banking sector. Barclays…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price rise 5% or 36% by this time next year?

Rolls-Royce's share price hit new heights after stunning full-year results on Thursday (26 February). Can the FTSE 100 firm keep…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Airtel Africa’s shares are up as others on the FTSE 100 plummet. What’s going on?

With yet another conflict starting in the Middle East, James Beard notes that investors are still buying Airtel Africa’s shares.…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Hot dates for dividend investors to mark in their March diaries

The year's stock market gains might be taking some edge off high yields, but UK dividend investors still have plenty…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Is it time to snap up Nvidia stock, after it fell 9% on Q4 results?

Nvidia makes a laughing stock of naysayers and their doom-and-gloom moods yet again, but the stock responds with a hefty…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to generate a second income of £2,700 a month in 2050?

Ben McPoland highlights a 6%-yielding stock from the FTSE 100 index that could contribute towards an attractive second income.

Read more »

Iberian plane on runway
Investing Articles

Is this a once-in-a-decade chance to snap up my highest conviction UK share?

Harvey Jones is a big fan of this beaten-down UK share and reckons it offers some of the most exciting…

Read more »