Should you double down on the BT share price?

The BT share price has plunged in value this year, but the company’s outlook is starting to improve. Now could be a good time to buy.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The BT (LSE: BT.A) share price has been one of the worst-performing investments in the FTSE 100 this year. Year-to-date, the stock is off around 50%.

Following this decline, the stock looks attractive from a value investing perspective. As such, I’m going to take a look at the business to establish whether or not investors should consider buying more of the stock at current levels. 

BT share price on offer?

To start, I’m going to take a look at why investor sentiment towards BT has collapsed this year. The coronavirus pandemic has significantly impacted the outlook for many businesses. However, it has benefited telecommunications groups, which have become essential services as many companies have asked employees to start working from home. 

We only need to look at BT’s latest trading update to see this trend in action. At the end of July, the company reported it expects revenues for the financial year ending March 2021 to fall between 5% and 6%. Compared to many other corporations, which have seen their revenues wholly wiped out in the pandemic, this is a relatively positive performance. 

Based on these projections, analysts are expecting the company to report earnings per share of 18.5p for the year on a net profit of £1.7bn. This target suggests the stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of just 5.3. 

Still, despite the company’s relatively right outlook and low valuation, investors continue to avoid the BT share price. 

Multiple headwinds 

I think investor sentiment has also been hurt by the company’s high level of borrowing. Also, management’s decision to cut the dividend didn’t help matters. Further, BT is also under pressure to invest more, which may lead to reduced shareholder returns for some time to come. 

There’s no way to sugarcoat it, BT does have some severe problems. But I feel as if the company’s current valuation more than makes up for these risks. 

BT is the largest telecommunications company in the country. While opponents are snapping at its heels, it’s going to be decades before any major competitor emerges. This gives the company an edge.

It would cost tens of billions of pounds to replicate BT’s existing network infrastructure. Even if the money were available, getting planning and regulatory permission would be another significant hurdle to overcome. 

Therefore, I’m optimistic about the outlook for the BT share price. The company does have problems, but these are relatively insignificant compared to its competitive advantage. It also seems to me as if many of these concerns are already reflected in the stock’s depressed valuation. 

As such, it might be worth buying BT as part of a well-diversified portfolio. Because the stock has historically changed hands for a P/E of around 10, there’s a possibility that when investor sentiment improves, the BT share price could double from current levels.

In my opinion, that potential reward is worth the risk of buying the shares. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Here’s how much income I’d get if I invested my entire £20k ISA in Tesco shares

Harvey Jones is wondering whether to take the plunge and buy Tesco shares, which offer solid growth prospects and a…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 big-cap stock I’d consider buying with the FTSE 100 around 8,000

With several contenders it’s been a tough choice. But here are my top FTSE 100 stock picks, despite the buoyant…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much passive income could I earn if I buy Tesco shares today?

Buying Tesco shares has rewarded investors with solid dividends for decades, and the foreacast shows more years of growth ahead.

Read more »

Investing Articles

How do I build a million pound Stocks and Shares ISA?

With a regular savings plan, a decent investment strategy, and a long-term mindset, a £1m Stocks and Shares ISA is…

Read more »

Young black woman in a wheelchair working online from home
Investing Articles

7 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I invest £15,000 in National Grid shares, how much passive income would I receive?

National Grid has long been one of the FTSE 100's most reliable dividend stocks, dishing out passive income year after…

Read more »

BUY AND HOLD spelled in letters on top of a pile of books. Alongside is a piggy bank in glasses. Buy and hold is a popular long term stock and shares strategy.
Investing Articles

How much passive income could I earn from 359 Diageo shares?

After a year of share price declines, Stephen Wright looks at whether a FTSE 100 Dividend Aristocrat could be a…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Up 40% in a month! But have I left it too late to buy this top FTSE 100 performer?

This dividend growth stock has smashed the FTSE 100 over the last month. Yet Harvey Jones is approaching it with…

Read more »