BP share price: here’s what I think the future holds

With low oil prices, job losses and asset write-downs, what could the future hold for the battered BP share price?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a tough few months for BP (LSE: BP). Oversupply in the oil market was exacerbated when coronavirus hit. Crude prices plummeted, and as it stands, the market is still unsure what the post-lockdown world will look like.

That’s why, this month, the company was forced to write down about $17.5bn from its oil and gas assets. Specifically, it reduced its outlook on crude oil prices in the wake of coronavirus. Despite this, however, the BP share price has managed to hold on fairly well.

Job cuts, debt and dividends

The week before its asset write-down, BP announced it would be cutting 10,000 jobs – about 15% of its workforce – by the end of this year. Most of this number will come from office-based staff, “protecting the front line of the company”.

The share price was actually higher on this news for a few days. Cost-cutting efforts being seen by investors as a sensible move. Interestingly too, BP is still maintaining its dividend.

Personally I agree with my fellow Fool Edward Sheldon, I expect at some point in the future BP will be forced to cut its dividend. It’s hard to justify cutting staff while maintaining investor payouts.

I suspect BP is simply waiting for a more opportune time. In a fearful market, it makes sense to not give investors any extra reasons to go running for the door. I suspect when things calm down towards the latter half of 2020, it will be reviewing its payout.

Interestingly, just days after the asset write-down, BP announced it would be raising $12bn through the issuance of hybrid bonds. The main aim of this is to strengthen BP’s balance sheet  — the firm having some of the highest levels of debt in the industry.

BP oil or BP green energy?

With concern for the environment being stronger than ever, oil majors having been making greater efforts to go green. On the image front, oil companies need to be seen as trying to move towards greener energy.

From a practical perspective, if oil runs out or becomes too expensive to extract, renewable energy sources could be a massive profit maker. Companies like BP and Royal Dutch Shell have known the writing was on the wall for a while.

Accordingly, both companies have been making greater efforts in the green market. This kind of adaptability has been a selling point for me as an investor. With this latest asset write-down, BP has suggested the expected fall in demand for oil will bring these efforts forward.

I think that with its cost-cutting efforts, investments in a greener economy and an understanding investor base if its reduces tis dividend, the BP share price may be able to see better times ahead.

Karl owns shares of BP and Royal Dutch Shell. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Artillery rocket system aimed to the sky and soldiers at sunset.
Investing Articles

Forget Rolls-Royce shares! I’ve got my eye on a more promising UK growth story

Rolls-Royce shares may be the gift that keeps giving but I think I've found a stock with even more growth…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

Income stocks: aim to earn £5,000 while sleeping in 2026

Who doesn’t love the idea of waking up to find cash magically appearing in their bank account? Here’s how dividend…

Read more »

Young Caucasian man making doubtful face at camera
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Greggs shares 1,535 days ago is now worth…

Greggs’ sales are going up but its shares are sinking fast. James Beard explores this apparent contradiction and asks whether…

Read more »

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

With the Aston Martin share price at penny stock levels, should investors consider buying?

The Aston Martin share price has crashed into penny stock territory at 41p. Will things get better from here or…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 excellent growth stocks to consider for a SIPP for the next 5 years

Our writer thinks these two e-commerce/tech powerhouses trading cheaply are worth checking out for a SIPP portfolio right now.

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

At what price do Lloyds shares become a bargain?

James Beard has long argued that Lloyds' shares are expensive. But with the bank’s amazing rally seemingly at an end,…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Am I crazy to buy more Diageo shares after a 62% fall? Here’s why I’m still confident

Our writer is considering snapping up a few more Diageo shares while they're cheap. But what’s the chance the stock…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

A 2026 stock market crash could be an ultra-rare chance to build a £1m portfolio

While a stock market crash in 2026 isn’t a certainty, investors who prepare for the worst today could build a…

Read more »