Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

BP share price: here’s what I think the future holds

With low oil prices, job losses and asset write-downs, what could the future hold for the battered BP share price?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a tough few months for BP (LSE: BP). Oversupply in the oil market was exacerbated when coronavirus hit. Crude prices plummeted, and as it stands, the market is still unsure what the post-lockdown world will look like.

That’s why, this month, the company was forced to write down about $17.5bn from its oil and gas assets. Specifically, it reduced its outlook on crude oil prices in the wake of coronavirus. Despite this, however, the BP share price has managed to hold on fairly well.

Job cuts, debt and dividends

The week before its asset write-down, BP announced it would be cutting 10,000 jobs – about 15% of its workforce – by the end of this year. Most of this number will come from office-based staff, “protecting the front line of the company”.

The share price was actually higher on this news for a few days. Cost-cutting efforts being seen by investors as a sensible move. Interestingly too, BP is still maintaining its dividend.

Personally I agree with my fellow Fool Edward Sheldon, I expect at some point in the future BP will be forced to cut its dividend. It’s hard to justify cutting staff while maintaining investor payouts.

I suspect BP is simply waiting for a more opportune time. In a fearful market, it makes sense to not give investors any extra reasons to go running for the door. I suspect when things calm down towards the latter half of 2020, it will be reviewing its payout.

Interestingly, just days after the asset write-down, BP announced it would be raising $12bn through the issuance of hybrid bonds. The main aim of this is to strengthen BP’s balance sheet  — the firm having some of the highest levels of debt in the industry.

BP oil or BP green energy?

With concern for the environment being stronger than ever, oil majors having been making greater efforts to go green. On the image front, oil companies need to be seen as trying to move towards greener energy.

From a practical perspective, if oil runs out or becomes too expensive to extract, renewable energy sources could be a massive profit maker. Companies like BP and Royal Dutch Shell have known the writing was on the wall for a while.

Accordingly, both companies have been making greater efforts in the green market. This kind of adaptability has been a selling point for me as an investor. With this latest asset write-down, BP has suggested the expected fall in demand for oil will bring these efforts forward.

I think that with its cost-cutting efforts, investments in a greener economy and an understanding investor base if its reduces tis dividend, the BP share price may be able to see better times ahead.

Karl owns shares of BP and Royal Dutch Shell. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Investing Articles

Down 9% in a month with a P/E below 8 – time to consider buying IAG shares?

When IAG shares fell earlier this year Harvey Jones filled his boots. Now the FTSE 100 airline has slipped again.…

Read more »

Tesco employee helping female customer
Growth Shares

Here’s where the experts think the Tesco share price could finish next year

Jon Smith sets his sights on the Tesco share price direction for 2026 and muses over the forecasts being offered…

Read more »

Lady taking a carton of Ben & Jerry's ice cream from a supermarket's freezer
Investing Articles

Should I scoop up some Magnum Ice Cream shares for my ISA? 

The world's largest ice cream business started trading on the London Stock Exchange today. Is this the next buy for…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 incredible FTSE 100 shares I can’t stop buying!

Discover the two FTSE 100 shares our writer Royston Wild's been piling into -- and why he expects them to…

Read more »

Close-up as a woman counts out modern British banknotes.
Investing For Beginners

This FTSE 100 share has a P/E ratio less than half the index average! Is it a bargain buy?

Jon Smith points out a FTSE 100 share with a P/E ratio of just 7.37, as he continues his hunt…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Why this FTSE banking gem may hold a lot more value than we think

This FTSE banking giant may be hiding more value than investors expect -- with rising dividends, buybacks, and growth potential…

Read more »

Tesla building with tesla logo and two teslas in front
US Stock

I asked ChatGPT where Tesla stock will be in a year’s time and this is what it said…

Jon Smith got an underwhelming response from ChatGPT regarding Tesla stock's 2026 potential performance, and provides his viewpoint on the…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

I’ve made this much from 417 shares in this FTSE 100 dividend income gem since 2020…

My £10k investment in this FTSE 100 heavyweight has grown hugely since 2020. With dividends up and the shares still…

Read more »