176% rise in 4 days! is the De La Rue share price a good buy?

The De La Rue share price skyrocketed this week on the news of contract wins and pandemic resilience. Is this rise sustainable?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

FTSE All-Share manufacturer De La Rue (LSE:DLAR) has seen a spectacular share price rise this week. The company prints money and provides product authentication solutions to governments and international businesses.

Fears of cross-contamination had caused a decline in cash use throughout the world. There were even reports China was disinfecting and quarantining all its banknotes for two weeks as it took them out of circulation. This decline caused the De La Rue share price to crash spectacularly in March. However, a positive trading update this week brought it rocketing back up 176% since Monday.

Is the De La Rue share price rise sustainable?

Although the coronavirus crisis has discouraged the use of cash all over the world. De La Rue has continued to experience demand in its currency division. It has been awarded contracts worth nearly 80% of its available full-year currency printing capacity for both its authentication and currency units. These include a five-year agreement to print pages for the new Australian passport.

As an expert in brand protection, De La Rue has also won a contract to authenticate and protect the Covid-19 testing kits of an international customer, along with protection for a Covid-19 immunity certification scheme. And since March, the authentication division has won contracts with a lifetime value of over £100m.

The company is also focusing on continuing to improve its portfolio of offerings and become more competitive. It will release its full-year results later this month, but it seems the pandemic has had a lesser impact on the company than first expected.

A short squeeze

But De La Rue has had a tough time in recent years. It has a price-to-earnings ratio of 7 and earnings per share are 16p and while these financials may sound tempting, its net debt remains high after skyrocketing in 2019. In 2017, the De La Rue share price was peaking above £7 a share. At £1.26 it has fallen far from those dizzy heights. Losing the contract to make UK passports dealt it a significant blow last year, and it scrapped its dividend. 

Was it this week’s positive announcement alone that caused the share price to spike so quickly? Not likely. One reason for the two-month share price suppression was pressure from short-sellers. With fears of cash decline in play and previous company problems still fresh in the mind, this stock looked like it was on a downward spiral and short-sellers were having a field day. However, all was not as it seemed. The realisation that the pandemic had a limited effect on the company, along with its recent contract wins, caused the short-sellers to panic and scramble to get out of their positions. This pushed the share price up rapidly.

So would I buy? Although recent contract wins and its prestigious customer base seem promising, I still do not think the De La Rue share price is a good buy.

The share price is already down 7% today as I type. All-in-all I think its high level of debt and lack of dividend make this an unappealing share for a long-term investor’s portfolio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kirsteen has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

What will a general election mean for the UK stock market?

The Prime Minister must hold an election before 28 January 2025. Our writer considers what the consequences might be for…

Read more »

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

£20,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to turn that into a £1,231 monthly second income!

Generating a sizeable second income can be life-enhancing, and it can be done from relatively small investments in high-dividend-paying stocks.

Read more »

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn
Investing Articles

I don’t care how much FTSE bosses are paid as long as they make me rich!

Facing accusations of greed, the pay packages of FTSE CEOs are back in the headlines. But our writer takes a…

Read more »

woman sitting in wheelchair at the table and looking at computer monitor while talking on mobile phone and drinking coffee at home
Investing Articles

Is the Lloyds share price overvalued right now?

This Fool has loved watching the Lloyds share price climb higher in 2024. Here are three good reasons why I’m…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Everyone’s talking about Tesla shares. Should I buy?

Jon Smith explains why the price of Tesla shares has been falling fast, but flags up the imminent results release…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Is Legal & General’s share price the best bargain in the FTSE 100?

Legal & General’s share price looks very undervalued to me. It also yields 8.3% and seems set to benefit from…

Read more »

Risk reward ratio / risk management concept
Investing Articles

Investor warning: I’d listen to Warren Buffett before buying Lloyds shares

Lloyds shares look like a bargain, especially compared to their US counterparts. But Stephen Wright thinks there might be a…

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

Investing freedom — but inside a pension

Strapped consumers might be cutting back on investing, but they’re still keeping up their pension contributions. The only problem? A…

Read more »