FTSE 100-member Lloyds’ share price is up 25% in 2019. Here’s what I’d do now

I think that Lloyds Banking Group plc (LON: LLOY) could outperform the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) after a strong start to the year.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Having risen by 25% since the start of the year, Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) may appear to be due a pullback. Its shares, though, continue to offer a wide margin of safety, while recent updates from the bank suggest that it is delivering on its growth potential.

As such, further outperformance of the FTSE 100 could be ahead over the long run. Alongside another stock that reported encouraging results on Monday, Lloyds could be worth buying right now.

Improving prospects

The stock in question is supplier of ventilation products, Volution (LSE: FAN). Its interim results showed a rise in revenue of 16.3% to £114.8m, while adjusted operating profit moved 10.7% higher to £20.2m. Encouragingly, the four acquisitions that were completed in the previous year are integrating and performing well. Those acquisitions have enhanced the company’s business model, while also providing additional diversification.

The company’s performance in the UK has been relatively strong. Despite operational challenges at its Reading facility, it has achieved improved production levels that have been sustained into the second half of the year. It has also experienced good traction with its new Xenion range of decentralised heat recovery ventilation in Germany.

With Volution forecast to deliver net profit growth of 10% in the current year, it seems to have a bright future. A price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3 suggests that it may have a wide margin of safety and could deliver improving share price performance.

Low valuation

Also offering a low valuation is Lloyds. Even though its shares have made strong gains since the start of the year, it has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 8.5. This suggests that investors continue to price in the risks facing the bank, in terms of an uncertain outlook for the UK economy.

While that is perhaps to be expected given the political and economic challenges facing the UK, recent quarterly updates from Lloyds have generally been positive. Despite difficult trading conditions, it has been able to further reduce costs and improve its income prospects. Like all UK-focused banks, it has endured a prolonged period of low interest rates, which means that net interest margins across the sector have been suppressed. Therefore, as interest rates move higher over the coming years, there could be improving profitability ahead that has not yet been priced in by the stock market.

As ever, there are risks ahead for the stock. Brexit could have a negative impact on the economy, for example. There may also be global challenges over the coming months. But from a risk/reward perspective, Lloyds seems to be highly appealing – even after its recent stock price surge. Therefore, now could be a good time to buy it, with its growth strategy seemingly intact and it having a wide margin of safety at a time when the FTSE 100 is trading within 10% of its all-time high.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Is 2026 the year the Diageo share price bounces back?

Will next year be the start of a turnaround for the Diageo share price? Stephen Wright looks at a key…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s my top FTSE 250 pick for 2026

UK investors looking for under-the-radar opportunities should check out the FTSE 250. And 2026 could be an exciting year for…

Read more »

Yellow number one sitting on blue background
Investing Articles

Here’s my number 1 passive income stock for 2026

Stephen Wright thinks a 5.5% dividend yield from a company with a strong competitive advantage is something passive income investors…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Should I sell my Scottish Mortgage shares in 2026?

After a strong run for Scottish Mortgage shares, our writer wonders if he should offload them to bank profits in…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

Down 35%! These 2 blue-chips are 2025’s big losers. But are they the best shares to buy in 2026?

Harvey Jones reckons he's found two of the best shares to buy for the year ahead, but he also acknowledges…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

State Pension worries? 3 investment trusts to target a £2.6m retirement fund

Royston Wild isn't worried about possible State Pension changes. Here he identifies three investment trusts to target a multi-million-pound portfolio.

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Dividend Shares

4 dirt-cheap dividend stocks to consider for 2026!

Discover four great dividend stocks that could deliver long-term passive income -- and why our writer Royston Wild thinks they’re…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

These fabulous 5 UK stocks doubled in 2025 – can they do it again next year?

These five UK stocks have more than doubled investors' money as the FTSE 100 surges. Harvey Jones wonders if they…

Read more »