Why I think the Barclays share price is an opportunity to play the FTSE 100’s weakness

Barclays plc (LON: BARC) could deliver stronger returns than the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The decline in the FTSE 100 has been significant over recent months. In fact since May, it’s down by around 13%, which reflects deteriorating investor sentiment.

Of course, while a correction is painful in the short run, it could create buying opportunities for the long run. I think stocks such as Barclays (LSE: BARC) now appear to offer wide margins of safety, which could lead to improving total returns in the long term.

Clearly though, some cheaper shares may be worth avoiding due to the risks they face. One such stock released a trading update on Monday after a challenging period.

Uncertain prospects

The stock in question is Safestyle UK (LSE: SFE), the manufacturer and retailer of PVCu replacement windows and doors. It has experienced significant financial challenges in recent months, largely due to a weak operating environment. This contributed to a fall in its share price of around 50% in the last year.

But the company’s update also showed an improved sales order intake since its Commercial Agreement with its co-founder Mitu Misra was delivered in October. It has seen a substantial increase in its contracted workforce across its canvass, sales, surveying and installation operations. It has also invested more than expected in lead generation, commissions and associated overheads. These are due to benefit its performance in the 2019 financial year.

Despite the potential for improving profitability, Safestyle UK faces a challenging operating outlook. Spending on non-essential items is weak at present, and this situation could continue as the Brexit process continues. As a result, it may be a stock to avoid, in my opinion.

Improving outlook

The FTSE 100’s fall could mean, though, that there’s now a number of buying opportunities around. The Barclays share price has dropped by 24% in the last year as investors have become increasingly concerned about the outlook for the world economy. That’s unsurprising, since the threat of a global trade war and the possible impact of rising US interest rates could hold back the financial performance of global businesses.

As a result, the margins of safety on offer could be wider than they have been for a number of years. This could create buying opportunities for long-term investors – especially since global GDP growth is expected to be around 5% per annum over the medium term. This suggests that while there are risks, the underlying prospects for global stocks could be stronger than investors are currently anticipating.

Since Barclays has a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7, it appears to offer growth at a reasonable price. Although there could be further falls in its share price ahead, investors who are able to look at the long-term prospects for the business and the wider economy may be able to generate improving returns from buying while the stock trades at a low ebb. From a risk/reward perspective, the bank could be highly appealing despite the uncertainty that it faces.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Barclays. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businesswoman analyses profitability of working company with digital virtual screen
Investing Articles

The Darktrace share price jumped 20% today. Here’s why!

After the Darktrace share price leapt by a fifth in early trading, our writer explains why -- and what it…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

850 shares in this dividend giant could make me £1.1k in passive income

Jon Smith flags up one dividend stock for passive income that has outperformed its sector over the course of the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Unilever shares are flying! Time to buy at a 21% ‘discount’?

Unilever shares have been racing higher this week after a one-two punch of news from the company. Here’s whether I…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Market Movers

The Microsoft share price surges after results. Is this the best AI stock to buy?

Jon Smith flags up the jump in the Microsoft share price after the latest results showed strong demand for AI…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

A dividend announcement sends the Alphabet share price soaring. Here’s what investors need to know

As the Alphabet share price surges on the announcement of a dividend, Stephen Wright outlines what investors should really be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Turning a £20k ISA into an annual second income of £30k? It’s possible!

This Fool UK writer is exploring how to harness the power of dividend shares and compound returns to build a…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Can I turn £10k into a £1k passive income stream with UK shares?

Everyone talks about the magical 10% mark when it comes to passive income investing, but how realistic is it to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 market-beating international investment funds for a Stocks and Shares ISA

It always pays to look for new ways to add extra diversity to a Stocks and Shares ISA. I think…

Read more »