Why I’d buy and hold the AstraZeneca share price for the next 20 years

Rupert Hargreaves outlines why he believes AstraZeneca plc (LON: AZN) could help you retire early.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

AstraZeneca (LSE: AZN) knows a thing or two about the pharmaceutical business. Indeed, the company is one of the largest drug researchers and manufacturers in the world, with a market capitalisation of £71bn at the time of writing.

I believe this company has considerable investment appeal. A string of new products have hit the market over the past 12 months, and there’s plenty more to come. These launches should push earnings higher at a steady clip, and support dividend growth.

The company is already one of the most attractive dividend stocks in the FTSE 100. I believe its dividend credentials will only improve over the coming years as sales growth filters through to the bottom line.

Investments paying off

It only takes a quick look at City forecasts to see that analysts are expecting Astra’s growth to take off. For 2018, they’ve pencilled in an earnings per share (EPS) increase of 55%. This is followed by a projected expansion of 14% in 2019.

These numbers are impressive, but are they too good to be true?

I reckon the figures might actually be understating Astra’s potential. Over the past five years, the company has pulled itself through a transition period. As revenue has tailed off from blockbuster legacy products, management has prioritised the development of new treatments, particularly in the field of cancer treatment, or oncology. 

The focus on these products means Astra has become somewhat of a global leader in the oncology space, and while it’s still early days for this sector of the healthcare market, the long term revenue opportunity here is bigger than anything that has come before.

New products 

Today, Astra announced that it’s moving along with the development of yet another game-changing treatment, Lynparza. 

Designed to help treat pancreatic cancer, the US Food and Drug Administration has awarded the treatment orphan drug status, a label given to medicines intended to treat disorders affecting fewer than 200,000 people. The designation is designed to streamline the approvals process for such orphan drugs. Lynparza’s effectiveness is currently being tested in a phase III trial, the results of which are expected in the first half of 2019.

Lynparza is just one of several oncology treatments that Astra is working on, some of which analysts believe could generate several billion dollars in sales per annum for the company.

Because Astra has the exclusive manufacturing rights for these treatments when they hit the market, they’ll give the firm a predictable, steady income stream for many years to come.

With this being the case, I don’t view the stock’s current valuation of 21.7 times forward earnings as prohibitive. I’d happily pay this multiple today considering the company’s position at the cutting edge of cancer research and treatment, as well as its long-term growth and income potential.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price hit £2 or £6 first?

The Rolls-Royce share price has soared in recent years. Can it continue to gain altitude or could it hit unexpected…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

How much should I put in stocks to give up work and live off passive income?

Here’s how much I’d invest and which stocks I’d target for a portfolio focused on passive income for an earlier…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

Does a dividend really make Alphabet stock more attractive?

Google parent Alphabet announced this week it plans to pay its first ever dividend. Our writer gives his take on…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Could starting a Stocks & Shares ISA be my single best financial move ever?

Christopher Ruane explains why he thinks setting up a seemingly mundane Stocks and Shares ISA could turn out to be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d invest £200 a month in UK shares to target £9,800 in passive income annually

Putting a couple of hundred of pounds each month into the stock market could generate an annual passive income close…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much passive income could I make if I buy BT shares today?

BT Group shares offer a very tempting dividend right now, way above the FTSE 100 average. But it's far from…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I put £10,000 in Tesco shares today, how much passive income would I receive?

Our writer considers whether he would add Tesco shares to his portfolio right now for dividends and potential share price…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

What grows at 12% and outperforms the FTSE 100?

Stephen Wright’s been looking at a FTSE 100 stock that’s consistently beaten the index and thinks has the potential to…

Read more »