One Neil Woodford stock I’d dump and one stock I’d buy today

There’s one stock in Neil Woodford’s portfolio that this Fool believes is worth buying for yours too.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

This morning, venture capital firm Allied Minds (LSE: ALM), one of Neil Woodford’s favourite businesses, announced that one of its portfolio companies, HawkEye 360, has raised $9.6m from a series of backers including Allied itself. 

According to the group, the funding will help HawkEye cover the “build and launch costs of the company’s first commercial satellite cluster and for general commercial purposes.” 

The HawkEye follow-on round is just the latest investment for Allied Minds. Earlier this year the company also made two new investments in TableUp and Orbital Sidekick, a software provider to the restaurant industry and analytics firm respectively. 

These new ventures seem to be part of management’s plan to turn Allied’s performance around. Last year the group crashed out of the FTSE 250 after revealing pre-tax losses of $58.2m on revenues of $2m during the first six months of 2017. These losses followed the $146.6m writedown on the value of seven of its portfolio businesses and a £64m cash call

Poor record 

Allied Minds is a venture capital business. The group invests in early-stage businesses, mainly in the tech and MedTech space, hoping to generate a huge profit when these firms reach maturity and are bought out or list via an IPO. 

Unfortunately, Allied’s track record of investing is poor. So far, there have been no windfall profits from IPOs or business sales. 

With this being the case, even though Neil Woodford continues to support the business, I’m staying away. There are many other companies out there with a better record of producing returns for investors, such as Burford Capital (LSE: BUR). 

Industry leader 

Burford is one of Woodford’s top five holdings in his flagship Equity Income fund, and it is easy to see why. A few years ago, litigation finance, which Burford provides, was virtually unheard of as an asset class. However today, the litigation finance industry is booming and Burford is leading the market. 

Litigation finance is an exciting asset class. Financers help fund the cost of legal action in return for a share in any award made by the court. These returns can be enormous. For example, a few months ago Burford told shareholders that, at the conclusion of one legal dispute between a Spanish company and the government of Argentina, it had generated a return on investment of more than 700% over seven years. Institutional investors are queuing up for this kind of exposure. 

That said, while returns can be higher, it requires experience to be able to navigate the industry successfully. Burford has this experience, which is why growth has exploded over the past five years

Net profit more than doubled to $265m year-on-year for the 12 months to the end of December last year. In 2012, for the year as a whole, Burford’s net profit was just $17m. 

With growth exploding, I’m excited about Burford’s future. I believe both the demand and supply of litigation finance will only grow and Burford is in a prime position to continue to profit from surging investor demand. 

Shares in the company are currently trading at a forward P/E of 19, which is slightly higher than the companies I’d usually invest in, but I believe the multiple is appropriate for a business that has grown EPS at a rate of 70% per annum for the past five years.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves does not own any share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 big-cap stock I’d consider buying with the FTSE 100 around 8,000

With several contenders it’s been a tough choice. But here are my top FTSE 100 stock picks, despite the buoyant…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much passive income could I earn if I buy Tesco shares today?

Buying Tesco shares has rewarded investors with solid dividends for decades, and the foreacast shows more years of growth ahead.

Read more »

Investing Articles

How do I build a million pound Stocks and Shares ISA?

With a regular savings plan, a decent investment strategy, and a long-term mindset, a £1m Stocks and Shares ISA is…

Read more »

Young black woman in a wheelchair working online from home
Investing Articles

7 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I invest £15,000 in National Grid shares, how much passive income would I receive?

National Grid has long been one of the FTSE 100's most reliable dividend stocks, dishing out passive income year after…

Read more »

BUY AND HOLD spelled in letters on top of a pile of books. Alongside is a piggy bank in glasses. Buy and hold is a popular long term stock and shares strategy.
Investing Articles

How much passive income could I earn from 359 Diageo shares?

After a year of share price declines, Stephen Wright looks at whether a FTSE 100 Dividend Aristocrat could be a…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Up 40% in a month! But have I left it too late to buy this top FTSE 100 performer?

This dividend growth stock has smashed the FTSE 100 over the last month. Yet Harvey Jones is approaching it with…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Could the Rolls-Royce share price surge be back on again?

The Rolls-Royce share price peaked in early 2024, and then started to fall back... and then picked up again. Here's…

Read more »