Tesco plc And WM Morrison Supermarkets PLC Face An Existential Crisis

Both Tesco plc (LON: TSCO) and WM Morrison Supermarkets PLC (LON: MRW) are grappling with a dilemma encountered by many businesses.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

What is the purpose of a company?

It’s an interesting question. And not one which is easy to answer.

What is the purpose of a company?

Some would say that it is to make money. Some would say that it is to create jobs. Some would say, to benefit shareholders. And others would say that it is for the benefit of society.

It is a question which is currently vexing both Tesco (LSE: TSCO) and Morrisons (LSE: MRW). Do these companies make money? Well, they certainly have a huge turnover. But, under pressure from premium brands Marks & Spencer and Waitrose, and budget stores Aldi and Lidl, both companies have made a loss this year.

Do they create jobs? Well, of course – in spades. Tesco is Britain’s biggest employer, with a total of 500,000 workers, almost all of whom are based in the UK. Morrisons employs another 125,000.

What about the benefit to shareholders? Well, there hasn’t been much recently. Tesco’s share price rose steadily in the nineties and naughties to reach 479p in 2007. Since then it has been on a remorseless downtrend, currently standing at 181p. And shareholders, of which there are many, have been steadily losing money.

What’s more, it seems unlikely that there will be any sustained rise in these firms’ share prices. Analysts estimate that the 2016 P/E ratio for Tesco is a worryingly high 42.27, falling to 19.43 in 2017. The dividend yield is 0.66%, rising to 1.51%.

Morrisons’ numbers are a little better, with a 2016 P/E ratio of 15.98, and a 2017 P/E ratio of 15.16. The dividend yield is 3.32%, falling to 3.19%.

But what about the benefit to society? Well, this is undoubted. Each of these retail giants has millions of customers. They sell a broad variety of products to serve every need. And the jobs they provide maintain whole communities across the length and breadth of Britain.

Customers vs employees vs shareholders

This illustrates the dilemma that these businesses are grappling with. What takes priority? Should you cut jobs to the bone to ensure that the company maintains its profitability and its share price? Or should you maintain employment levels, and accept the fact that the share price is destined to a slow decline?

What I sense is that these firms are taking a balanced approach. They know that there are too many supermarkets, and that this is the reason why they are not profitable. But they are closing only a few unprofitable stores.

Morrisons has sold many of its in-town mini-marts, while Tesco is selling much of its Asian business. This allows them to conserve resources so they stand a better chance of beating the competition in the UK.

Look at these companies with a sense of perspective, and you see that customers are happy, and employees are happy.

I feel that the share prices of both firms are set to fall further, as profitability is unlikely to rise. I would not currently invest in either Tesco or Morrisons.

But, if you think about it, maybe that doesn’t matter any more.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Prabhat Sakya has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

BUY AND HOLD spelled in letters on top of a pile of books. Alongside is a piggy bank in glasses. Buy and hold is a popular long term stock and shares strategy.
Investing Articles

How much passive income could I earn from 359 Diageo shares?

After a year of share price declines, Stephen Wright looks at whether a FTSE 100 Dividend Aristocrat could be a…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Could the Rolls-Royce share price surge be back on again?

The Rolls-Royce share price peaked in early 2024, and then started to fall back... and then picked up again. Here's…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Up 40% in a month! But have I left it too late to buy this top FTSE 100 performer?

This dividend growth stock has smashed the FTSE 100 over the last month. Yet Harvey Jones is approaching it with…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

My two favourite FTSE passive income stocks have plunged in 2024. Time to buy more?

Harvey Jones went big on these two FTSE 100 dividend stocks last year, hoping to generate bags of passive income.…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

3 things that could push the Lloyds share price towards £1

Is it too early to think about the Lloyds share price getting up close to £1? Almost certainly. But I'm…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

Up over 130% in 5 years! I reckon this FTSE 250 investment could keep on growing in price

Oliver Rodzianko thinks this FTSE 250 company could offer great future growth at a valuation that's less risky than other…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Top 10 stocks and funds that ISA investors have been buying

Here are the investments that early bird ISA investors have been adding to their portfolios recently, according to Hargreaves Lansdown.

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

I’d follow Warren Buffett and start building a £1,900 monthly passive income

With a specific long-term goal for generating passive income, this writer explains how he thinks he can learn from billionaire…

Read more »