Today I am looking at three FTSE plays sporting exceptional dividend yields.
Rio Tinto
I believe that diversified mining goliath Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO) (NYSE: RIO.US) is at huge risk of disappointing income chasers, a view which is at odds with the City’s army of number crunchers.
At present the business is anticipated to lift a 215 US cent per share payment for 2014 to 235 US cents this year, producing a mammoth yield of 5.1%. And for 2016 this is expected to rise still further, to 246 cents, in turn creating a yield of 5.3%. However, I reckon that the scant dividend coverage through this period puts these forecasts at great risk — readings of 1.2 times and 1.4 times prospective earnings this year and next fall well below the security watermark of 2 times.
It is true that Rio Tinto has embarked on massive internal work to bolster its cash pile. In 2014 the company slashed capital expenditure by more than a third, to $8.2bn, and total spend is expected to be maintained at around $7bn until 2017. And in February the company streamlined its production and corporate functions as part of its ongoing cost-cutting drive. But while metals prices keep on dragging as supply/demand balances worsen, I reckon Rio Tinto’s earnings — and consequently dividend — outlook remains under a cloud.
Royal Dutch Shell
Like Rio Tinto, I believe that the problem of worsening commodity market fundamentals threaten to put the kibosh on the bumper dividends currently expected at Shell (LSE: RDSB) (NYSE: RDS-B.US). The black gold behemoth is expected to hike last year’s payout of 188 US cents per share to 191.4 cents in 2015, and again to 191.9 cents in 2016.
Although such projections create a monster yield of 5.9%, if realised these payouts would represent a vast slowdown in Shell’s progressive dividend policy, underlining the huge stress on the company’s balance sheet. The business is taking the hatchet to its exploration budget in a bid to conserve capital, while its asset disposal programme also continues to rattle along — the business has sold $2bn worth of projects since the turn of 2015 alone.
The company’s planned takeover of BG Group is expected to keep dividends chugging along as the latter’s free cash flow is set for take off. But with oil prices expected to languish looking ahead, and dividends covered just 1 times by prospective earnings in 2015, and 1.4 times next year, I believe that payouts could be set to disappoint in the medium term and beyond.
Carillion
Unlike the stocks mentioned above, I believe that Carillion (LSE: CLLN) is a great bet for those seeking juicy income flows. Indeed, the City expects the Wolverhampton firm to raise last year’s 17.75p per share reward to 18.1p in 2015, resulting in a huge yield of 5.6%. And this readout edges to 5.8% for 2016 due to predictions of a 18.7p dividend.
Like the natural resources plays mentioned above, Carillion’s dividend coverage falls below the safety benchmark of 2 times forward earnings. But readings of 1.8 times for 2015, and 1.9 times in the following year, is within touching distance of this target. And I reckon the company’s enviable record of eking out lucrative contract wins with both public and private sector customers is a tremendous omen for future payouts.
Investor nerves were frayed by latest UK construction PMI data last week, which sunk to 54.2 in April, the lowest reading since the summer of 2013. Still, it is worth noting that a figure above 50 still represent expansion, while the recent slowdown can be attributed in large part to postponed spending ahead of the general election. And with the British economic recovery ticking along nicely, I expect shareholder returns to keep stacking up at Carillion.
