Profits have halved at this FTSE 100 share! Is now the time to buy?

This FTSE 100 firm has seen profits tank as a consequence of the Covid-19 crisis. But is now the time to buy this battered UK share?

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2020 was a challenging time for retailers as Covid-19 lockdowns and a sharp economic downturn hit consumer spending. Not even companies in the classically-robust grocery sector were immune to the pandemic as costs spiralled. It’s a theme which one major FTSE 100 supermarket laid bare today.

On Wednesday, Morrison (WM) Supermarkets (LSE: MRW) announced pre-tax profits more than halved in its last fiscal year to January. At £201m, profits were down 50.7% from the previous year.

Covid-19 costs hammer profits

Morrisons said it booked £290m worth of coronavirus-related costs last year. If it hadn’t been for these exceptional expenses the firm would have made £431m profit, it said, up from the pre-tax figure of £408m recorded in the previous year.

Total Covid-19 costs were around £10m higher than the company advised in January. Morrisons said this was prompted by an uptick in staff absentees in January, although it noted this problem is steadily receding. Other extraordinary expenses the grocer endured last year included extra payroll costs, the rollout of store safety measures, distribution costs and the closure of its cafes and deli counters.

Like-for-like sales at Morrisons actually rose strongly last year as Britons were forced to stay in and cook at home. These were up 8.4% year-on-year (excluding fuel and VAT), swinging from the 0.4% fall recorded in fiscal 2020. And like-for-like sales at the FTSE 100 retailer rose by 9% in the final three months of last year.

Morrisons also had its solid online business to thank for the strong sales increase. Internet-generated sales tripled year-on-year, it said, with capacity rising fivefold in that time.

Supermarket aisle with empty green trolley

FTSE 100 firm expects to fight back

Commenting on the results, Morrisons said: “Our business has reacted and responded very well throughout the pandemic, and both our absolute and relative trading performance has been consistently strong.

It added: “We are confident we can continue our momentum into the new year, and expect both profit growth and a significant reduction in net debt.” 

Indeed, net debt spiralled to £3.2bn last year from £2.5bn in financial 2020.

So what now?

It’s perhaps no surprise that staff absences have begun to reduce in recent weeks. It comes at a time when Covid-19 infection rates in Britain are falling as vaccines are rolled out. But I think it’s too early to claim that Morrisons is over the hump. Cautious optimism is in order. Though surging coronavirus cases in Europe suggest that an end to the pandemic isn’t quite in sight. More heavy costs could be booked in this new fiscal year.

As a long-term investor however, I’m more concerned by the impact of rising competition on Morrisons’ future profits. FTSE 100 supermarkets have steadily lost customers to new entrants Aldi and Lidl in the physical world and Amazon in cyberspace. And this is putting their ever-thin margins under increasing pressure amid rampant price slashing. This means I’m happy to leave Morrisons on the shelf and invest in other UK shares today.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Royston Wild has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Amazon. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Morrisons and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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