Here’s why I think you can retire on the Tesco share price

With its dominant position in the market and strong cash generation, the Tesco share price looks to be a solid buy-and-forget investment, argues Rupert Hargreaves.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

If you’re looking for stocks to retire on, I highly recommend taking a closer look at the Tesco (LSE: TSCO) share price. After a few rough years, the company is now back on track. Profits are rising, and it continues to dominate the retail sector in the UK.

Even though the German discounters are still trying to edge in on Tesco’s turf, the supermarket giant is fighting back aggressively. So far, it seems to be holding its own, and I think this will continue.

Key advantage

While Tesco cannot compete with the German discounters on price, it’s has been focusing on doing what it does best, which is offering customers a good experience for their money.

Tesco’s Clubcard loyalty scheme is highly successful and popular with shoppers, and management is planning to take advantage of that with a relaunch later this year.

Tesco also has more choices for customers and more staff. Discounter stores tend to have a skeleton staff and limited options. The bigger retailer can stock all the brand favourites and afford to have a few more staff on hand to improve the customer experience.

Not many retailers can afford to have both low prices and plenty of staff in store, but Tesco can because of the group’s size. It’s the largest retailer in the UK with one of the most developed distribution and logistics networks of any business.

This huge competitive advantage gives the firm an edge over all of its competitors, and it will take a lot to displace Tesco from its market-leading position.

Another reason why I believe the group will continue to churn out impressive returns for shareholders for many decades to come is the fact it’s the biggest food retailer in the country, and one of the biggest in the world.

People have to eat no matter what and while the retail industry has been through a turbulent period during the past few years, food and drink sales have only continued to grow. Further growth is expected over the next five years.

The UK food and grocery industry is projected to expand by £24.1bn, or 12.5%, by 2024. Tesco, with its 27% market share, should be able to grab a big chunk of that.

Cash returns

As the group knuckles down and concentrates on generating profit over the next few years, City analysts believe the group could return billions to shareholders.

Earlier this year, analysts speculated that share buybacks could be on the cards, although management eventually settled for a dividend hike. Following the increase, shares in the retailer are set to yield 3.3% for fiscal 2020, rising to 3.7% next year.

As profits continue to expand, I’m highly confident the payout will grow further in the years ahead.

So, that’s why I think you can retire on the Tesco share price. The company’s entrenched position in the UK food and beverage market makes it one of the most defensive businesses around.

As the market continues to expand, Tesco’s bottom line should grow with it.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Want a £1m Stocks and Shares ISA? Step 1 starts before 5 April

Dr James Fox explains why the Stocks and Shares ISA is an incredible vehicle, and why investors may want to…

Read more »

Happy woman commuting on a train and checking her mobile phone while using headphones
Investing Articles

2 dirt-cheap stocks to consider buying for an ISA portfolio in April

This pair of UK shares are down by double digits in recent months. Ben McPoland sees both as stocks to…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Growth Shares

I think this undervalued penny stock has serious potential to outperform

Jon Smith points out a penny stock that's started to rise as the company pushes ahead with a transformation that…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

2 dividend-paying investment trusts to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA

These two London-listed funds source their dividends globally, offering income investors diversification inside an ISA portfolio.

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Waiting for a stock market crash? This FTSE 100 superstar just fell 19% in a day

A stock market crash can be a great time to buy shares. But one of the FTSE 100’s leading lights…

Read more »

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce shares down 19%. Why is this major broker still as bullish as ever?

Our writer looks into the long-term investment case for Rolls-Royce shares after a 19% dip, and finds at least one…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

9% yield! But a cut’s coming for 1 of the UK’s most reliable dividend stocks

While other housebuilding stocks have had big dividend cuts in recent years, Taylor Wimpey's been incredibly resilient. But that's set…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Stock market crash? 1 Nasdaq share I’m keeping an eye on

With the stock market taking the elevator down recently, out writer has his eye on a company hoping to compete…

Read more »