Is the BP share price a ‘buy’ right now?

Rupert Hargreaves considers the prospects for the BP plc (LON: BP) share price alongside one of the company’s smaller peers.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Over the past few weeks, as volatility has gripped the FTSE 100, shares in oil giant BP (LSE: BP) have remained surprisingly resilient. The stock has only declined by 2.4%, excluding dividends, since mid-July, compared to a decline of 7.8% for the FTSE 100 over the same period.

In my view, this resilience shows that BP remains an investor favourite, and could be a great addition to your portfolio if you’re looking for stocks to protect your money from market volatility.

Profits recovering 

Following years of cost-cutting, BP is now a leaner operation than ever before, which bodes well for investors. Indeed, shareholders are already reaping the benefits of the company’s leaner operating structure as the price of oil hovers near a multi-year high. 

Last year, the company became the first of the Big Oil group to re-introduce share buybacks. Most eliminated these efforts to return cash to investors when the price of oil started to decline in 2014.

I’m expecting BP to ramp-up its cash return plans over the next six months as the firm’s bottom line gets a boost from the rising price of oil. On top of the buybacks, investors are entitled to a market-beating 5.6% dividend yield. The shares are hardly expensive either, changing hands for just 11.6 times forward earnings.

With higher cash returns on the cards, I rate BP a ‘buy’ right now.

High risk, high reward 

If BP is one of the FTSE 100 most trusted dividend stocks, at the other end of the spectrum is small-cap oil producer Enquest (LSE: ENQ), which has endured a mixed record of growth.

For the past few years, the company has been struggling under a mountain of debt, built up when the price of oil was trading above $100 a barrel. Management has pulled out all of the stops to keep the business alive and, so far, these efforts seem to be paying off. The rising price of oil has helped, but cost reductions have done the bulk of the heavy lifting, putting Enquest back on a stable footing.

Management is now so confident that the company’s recovery is on-track that it’s started chasing growth again. The group recently exercised an option with BP to expand its ownership of the jointly-owned Magnus field and associated infrastructure and the Thistle and Deveron fields. This deal will give the firm an estimated additional 60m barrels of reserves for a total cost of £106m, funded by way of a rights issue.

As it continues its recovery, I view Enquest as a binary investment. The company will either make a full recovery or fail. I think the former is more likely, and the subsequent stock price recovery could produce tremendous gains for investors. For example, right now the stock is trading at a forward P/E of just 2.4 that’s compared to the sector average of 8.2.

These figures tell me that if Enquest can convince investors its recovery is the real deal, there could be an upside of 240% or more on offer here. The reward is certainly worth the extra risk in my view.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
US Stock

Up 59% this year, this S&P 500 stock is smashing the index!

Jon Smith points out a stock from the S&P 500 that's flying right now as part of a transformation plan,…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Stock market correction: a rare second income opportunity?

Falling share prices are pushing dividend yields higher. That makes it a good time for investors looking for chances to…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Dividend Shares

I just discovered this REIT with a juicy 9% dividend yield

Jon Smith points out a REIT that just came on his radar due to the high yield, but comes with…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Aviva shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Aviva shares have vastly outperformed the FTSE 100 over the last 5 years. Zaven Boyrazian explores just how much money…

Read more »

Photo of a man going through financial problems
Investing Articles

The stock market hasn’t crashed… yet. Don’t wait too long to prepare

Mark Hartley outlines what defines a stock market crash and provides a few tips and tricks to help UK investors…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

After a 30% rally, are BP shares too expensive — or should I consider more?

Mark Hartley breaks down the investment case for BP shares and whether the new project in Egypt is enough to…

Read more »

Two elderly people relaxing in the summer sunshine Box Hill near Dorking Surrey England
Investing Articles

Forget the FTSE 100 and come back after summer? Here’s my plan!

With the FTSE 100 moving around in a volatile way, should our writer just forget all about it for a…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA 5 years ago could now be worth…

The last five years have been something of a roller coaster for the markets. How would £20k in a Stocks…

Read more »