Why I’d still buy FTSE 100 giant GlaxoSmithKline but avoid this growth stock

G A Chester sees reasons to shun a small-cap growth stock with an uncertain outlook in favour of GlaxoSmithKline plc (LON:GSK).

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

E-invoicing firm Tungsten (LSE: TUNG) processes invoices for 67% of the FTSE 100 and 76% of the Fortune 500. Its platform “maximises efficiency and improves cash flow management” for such giants as General Motors, GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK) and IBM, as well as other organisations, including the US Federal Government.

All about cash flow

In a trading update today, for its financial year ended 30 April, Tungsten said it processed transactions worth over £160bn and generated record revenue. However, compared with the value of the transactions, revenue was tiny at £33.7m. A 9% increase (at constant exchange rates) on the prior year is not particularly impressive and it was below expectations of £35.5m.

Historically, the company has been lossmaking and a serial disappointer, even on its favoured and most generous measure of profitability, EBITDA, which it defines as “operating loss from continuing operations before other income, depreciation, amortisation, share-based payments charge, and exceptional items.” It said it expects its EBITDA loss to narrow to £4.6m from £11.8m, adding that EBITDA turned positive for the final four months of its financial year. It didn’t enlighten us as to cash flow in those final four months but said net cash outflow for the whole year was £11.1m.

Tungsten has taken to capitalising development costs in the last couple of years. This practice has a positive effect on paper earnings but not on net cash flow. The company capitalised £3.6m in fiscal 2017 and £2m in H1 fiscal 2018. We’ll have to wait for the full results in July to get a real picture of how the cash flowed and an idea of whether remaining cash of £6.4m at 30 April provides the business with adequate resources. For the time being, I’m minded to avoid this AIM-listed stock, whose shares are currently trading 3.3% down at 53p, following today’s update.

Improving outlook

GlaxoSmithKline’s shares were trading at 1,350p near the start of the year when I saw great value in the stock. At that time, the forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 12.3 and the prospective dividend yield was 6%. The shares have climbed to a current 1,530p with the P/E up to 14.1 and the yield down to 5.2%. Nevertheless, as the P/E is around the level of the historical average for the FTSE 100 as a whole and the yield is above average, I still see value here and continue to rate the stock a ‘buy’.

In its annual results released in February, Glaxo reported improvements in sales, margins and cash flow in 2017. All three of its businesses — Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines and Consumer Healthcare — delivered sales growth. There was similar across-the-board growth (at constant exchange rates) reported for Q1 this year in April.

I was also encouraged that the company declined to bid for the consumer health business of Pfizer at a mooted $20bn and instead struck a $13bn deal with Novartis to buy the 36.5% stake in their consumer health joint venture that it didn’t already own. This transaction has just completed and will boost Glaxo’s future cash generation and support the group’s main priority of strengthening its Pharmaceuticals business and R&D pipeline. I believe investors can look forward to a new phase of good earnings and dividend growth over the medium-to-long term.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

G A Chester has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended GlaxoSmithKline. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Market Movers

The Microsoft share price surges after results. Is this the best AI stock to buy?

Jon Smith flags up the jump in the Microsoft share price after the latest results showed strong demand for AI…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

A dividend announcement sends the Alphabet share price soaring. Here’s what investors need to know

As the Alphabet share price surges on the announcement of a dividend, Stephen Wright outlines what investors should really be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Turning a £20k ISA into an annual second income of £30k? It’s possible!

This Fool UK writer is exploring how to harness the power of dividend shares and compound returns to build a…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Can I turn £10k into a £1k passive income stream with UK shares?

Everyone talks about the magical 10% mark when it comes to passive income investing, but how realistic is it to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 market-beating international investment funds for a Stocks and Shares ISA

It always pays to look for new ways to add extra diversity to a Stocks and Shares ISA. I think…

Read more »

Grey cat peeking out from inside a cardboard box in a house
Investing Articles

Just released: April’s latest small-cap stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

We believe the UK small-cap market offers a myriad of opportunities across a wide range of different businesses and industries.

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

The Anglo American share price soars to £25, but I’m not selling!

On Thursday, the Anglo American share price soared after mega-miner BHP Group made an unsolicited bid for it. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Now 70p, is £1 the next stop for the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price is back to 70p, but it's a long way short of the 97p it hit in…

Read more »