A quick way to reject weak shares

How to identify potential investment howlers, fast.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Companies often have a great ‘story’ that attracts me to them for their upside potential. However, if things don’t turn out as expected my capital is at risk if the company has a weak balance sheet.

Balance sheet weakness means a firm isn’t built on solid financial foundations, so it makes sense to check the strength of the balance sheet before anything else and reject shares that don’t measure up. How should I do that?

Three-step check

One answer came to me in a neat, time-efficient package delivered by well-respected financial blogger and investor Paul Scott when I read one of his Small Cap Value Reports over on Stockopedia. Paul occasionally posts on The Motley Fool bulletin boards under the pseudonym Paulypilot and used to be a company financial director. Paul’s approach is to look at a firm’s balance sheet and follow this three-step check:

1) Look for a positive net tangible asset value (NTAV)

Using AIM tiddler Robinson (LSE: RBN) as an example, we can click on the preliminary results report and scroll down to the balance sheet, which it labels as Statement of Financial Position. To find the net asset value we first locate the line labelled Net Assets, hown with a value of £24.557m.

To strip that down to tangible net assets we take off the intangibles. Scroll back up to the top of the balance sheet and locate Goodwill at £1.264m and Other Intangible Assets at £6.655m. Now take both those figures from the net asset figure to arrive at an NTAV of £16.638m.

That’s a positive figure as required by the test as the firm has more in property, plant, equipment and other ‘real’ assets than it carries in borrowings and other liabilities.

Robinson makes packaging for fast-moving consumer goods and this is a good test for such a trading company. However, other firms in other sectors can run asset-light businesses and some intangible assets can be valuable. So it pays to judge each case individually and sometimes it’s worth loosening this test and looking for a positive Net Asset Value that includes intangibles instead.

2) Work out the current ratio and ensure it’s ideally at least 1.2  

A firm’s current ratio (AKA the working capital ratio) gives an indication of its ability to meet short-term debt obligations. A reading of one or above is good but the higher the better. Paul aims for at least 1.2.

To work out the current ratio, divide Current Assets by Current Liabilities. From Robinson’s balance sheet, Current Assets come to £15.645m and Current Liabilities to £14.159m. The Current Ratio works out at 1.1. Not 1.2, but close.

3) Make sure net debt and pension deficit is acceptable   

Under Current Liabilities, Robinson’s balance sheet shows Borrowings of £4.461m. Under Non-Current Liabilities, the borrowings figure is £1.132m. Adding these together, the gross borrowings figure is £5.593m.

To get the net debt figure, take off the cash the firm shows it holds on the balance sheet. Cash is listed under Current Assets at £4.688m, so the net debt is £0.905m. Is that acceptable? I like to compare debt figures to a company’s earnings to help me judge. Scrolling up to Robinsons’ Group Income Statement, I see the firm posted an Operating Profit Before Exceptional Items of £2.407m — over twice the firm’s net debt figure.

However, I like to be even more conservative and use gross debt rather than net debt figures rather as cash has a habit of disappearing without much notice but debts hang around for much longer! Gross debt stands at about 2.32 times the firm’s operating profit, which is acceptable.

Happily, Robinson declares Pension Assets of £3.747m and no pension liabilities, so I’ll ignore the pension arrangements for the time being.

I decided not to invest in Robinson recently, but the firm got through the three-step check and I rejected it for other reasons.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

As the FTSE indexes sink, these unique dividend shares are making investors money

These two dividend shares are in positive territory for the month and outperforming the major FTSE indexes by a significant…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Down 15% in days, are Rolls-Royce shares suddenly a bargain again?

Rolls-Royce shares have been heading south over the past couple of weeks. This writer thinks that makes sense -- but…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

What would a 40-year-old need to put into an empty SIPP to target monthly passive income of £1,000?

From a standing start at 40, how might someone target a four-figure monthly income stream from their SIPP? Christopher Ruane…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

As the ISA deadline approaches, UK investors have the opportunity to buy cheap shares

In recent weeks, equity markets have fallen significantly due to the conflict in the Middle East. As a result, many…

Read more »

Array of piggy banks in saturated colours on high colour contrast background
Investing Articles

£5k left in a Stocks and Shares ISA? 2 top ETFs to consider buying in April

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of very different ETFs that he thinks could help generate long-term wealth inside an ISA…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Could a £20,000 ISA end up generating £20,000 of passive income each year?

Could a Stocks and Shares ISA ultimately cover its own cost each year with the passive income it produces? Christopher…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 top stocks to consider buying after this week’s FTSE carnage

Investors looking for beaten-up stocks to buy for the long term have a lot of great options after the recent…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

A stock market crash could be a gift for long-term investors

A stock market crash could present some outstanding buying opportunities. But the key to taking advantage is knowing what to…

Read more »