Why UK Mail Group PLC Is A Better Bet Than Royal Mail PLC

UK Mail Group PLC (LON: UKM) is a better bet than Royal Mail PLC (LON: RMG).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

When Royal Mail (LSE: RMG) went public at the end of last year, a key selling point of the company was the group’s exposure to the UK parcel delivery market. As more and more consumers do their shopping online, Royal Mail boasted that it was set to benefit from the rising number of parcels being sent around the UK.

However, nearly twelve months on from Royal Mail’s IPO, the company is struggling as growth in the key parcel delivery business has failed to materialise. 

Poor trading royal mail

At the end of July, Royal Mail released a worse than expected interim management statement for the first three months of the company’s financial year. 

The company reported low single-digit revenue growth across the group, thanks to a weaker-than-expected performance within the group’s UK parcel division. Further, the company warned that given the rising competition within the parcel sector, parcels revenue for the full year is likely to be lower than anticipated. Still, management stopped short of issuing a full profits warning. All in all, for the three months ended 29th June, Royal Mail’s group revenue increased by 2%. 

With revenues growing at an anaemic rate, Royal Mail is slashing costs to boost profitability. Cost savings of £25m will be realised during the second half of the year. 

Nevertheless, Royal Mail can only cut costs so much and with competition increasing within the sector, the group’s revenues are only going to come under further pressure over time. 

UK Mail 2A better pick

As Royal Mail struggles, UK Mail (LSE: UKM) has reported a solid start to the current financial year. Reported group revenues for the first quarter increased by some 2.5%, compared to the same period last year. Adjusted revenues increased by 4.5%.

This growth was driven by, you guessed it, an increasing number of parcel deliveries. UK Mail parcel volumes jumped by 10% year on year during the first quarter. 

What’s more, as Royal Mail relies on cost cutting to boost profits, UK Mail is expanding capacity to reduce costs, streamline operations and steal market share. 

Valuation

Unfortunately, as UK Mail is growing rapidly investors are willing to pay a premium valuation for the company’s shares. At present the company trades at a forward P/E of 17.1 and supports a dividend yield of 3.6%. City analysts are expecting the company to offer a yield of 3.9% next year. 

In comparison, Royal Mail trades at a forward P/E of 13.2 and city analysts are expecting the company to offer a yield of 4.8% next year. Nevertheless, over the long term Royal Mail’s outlook is less certain and UK Mail’s long-term prospects are certainly more attractive. 

But UK Mail’s growth comes at a price, which could out some investors off. The trouble is that most growth shares with bright prospects tend to trade at similarly high valuation multiples.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Investing Articles

Is Legal & General a top bargain after its 8% share price drop?

Looking for brilliant dividend shares to buy on the cheap? Royston Wild takes a look at Legal & General following…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

Up 19% in a day, is there more to come from the surging Diploma share price?

Diploma’s share price is storming higher. But does the stock offer safety in an uncertain market, or is buying at…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target £2,000 a month of passive income?

With a bit of maths, our writer illustrates how an investor could shrink their initial ISA investment while supersizing dividend…

Read more »

Number three written on white chat bubble on blue background
Investing Articles

The FTSE 100’s full of value shares at the moment. Here are 3 to consider

Recent events have taken their toll on the share prices of some of the UK’s biggest companies. But it also…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Should I buy beaten-down UK growth stocks today or conserve my cash for even bigger bargains?

Harvey Jones says the FTSE 100 is packed with cut-price growth stocks after recent volatility. Should investors buy now or…

Read more »

Number 5 foil balloon and gold confetti on black.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Fresnillo shares 5 weeks ago is now worth…

Fresnillo shares have pulled back sharply from recent highs in the FTSE 100. Is this a chance to consider buying…

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

Down 15%, are Lloyds shares simply too cheap to miss now?

Have the wheels come off the long-term growth story for Lloyds Bank shares, or are they dipping into bargain territory…

Read more »

Business manager working at a pub doing the accountancy and some paperwork using a laptop computer
Investing Articles

Are investors taking a massive gamble by chasing the BP share price higher?

Investors who thought the BP share price would continue to rocket as the Iran war intensifies may have been surprised…

Read more »