Hochschild Mining shares are down nearly 50%. But is there a silver lining?

Andrew Woods assesses whether the recent fall in Hochschild Mining shares now presents an attractive buying opportunity for him.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Female analyst sat at desk looking at pie charts on paper

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Key Points

  • The underlying price of silver is starting to increase, having recently fallen from $21 to $18
  • The firm had a compound annual EPS growth rate of 11.8% between 2017 and 2021
  • Over that period, pre-tax profit grew from $64.08m to $137.33m

Hochschild Mining (LSE:HOC) shares have been volatile lately. While I’ve never held this company as part of my portfolio, I’m eager to see whether this South American-based gold and silver mining stock now presents an exciting buying opportunity for me. Let’s take a closer look. 

Falling silver price

In the past year, the shares have fallen 49.5%, while over the last month they’ve dropped 26%. At the time of writing, they’re trading at just shy of 81p.

The share price took a particularly hard hit in the past couple of months. This was chiefly as a result of the falling silver price. The price of silver per ounce fell from around $21 to about $18. This essentially means that the value of Hochschild’s produce declined, leading to a lower company share price.

This prompted investment bank Berenberg to downgrade the firm from ‘buy’ to ‘hold’ because it saw the underlying silver price movement as overwhelmingly negative.

However, with the US now technically in recession, many investors have sought precious metals as a ‘safe haven’. As a result, the silver price is back above $20 and may have much further to travel upwards. This is good news for Hochschild.

Solid production and profit margins

The business also recently stated that it was on track to meet its production targets for both silver and gold in 2022.

These targets were set at between 360,000 and 375,000 gold ounces, and between 26m and 27m silver ounces. It’s worth noting, however, that further pandemic variants could impact mining capabilities, thus hindering the ability to meet production targets.

On the other hand, the firm has reported that it expects all-in sustaining costs to be between $18.50 and $19 per silver ounce. In addition, the cost per gold ounce is between $1,330 and $1,370. The profit margin on gold mining is particularly large, given that the price per gold ounce on the market is currently about $1,765.

This is an indication that the company is running an efficient operation.

It has also enjoyed consistent growth in pre-tax profit. Between 2017 and 2021, pre-tax profit more than doubled from $64.08m to $137.33m.

YearPre-tax profit
2017$64.08m
2018$38.37m
2019$76.84m
2020$62.92m
2021$137.33m

Furthermore, earnings per share (EPS) grew from ¢8 and ¢14 over the same period. By my calculations, this results in a compound annual EPS growth rate of 11.8%. 

This is both strong and consistent. However, it’s worth noting that this growth rate is by no means guaranteed to continue in the future.

Overall, the Hochschild share price has taken a bit of a pounding in recent months. Nevertheless, the company’s financial results are strong and it’s now benefiting from an improving silver price. To that end, I’ll add this firm to my portfolio to gain greater exposure to precious metals and solid growth.  

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Andrew Woods has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

1 FTSE dividend stock I’d put 100% of my money into for passive income!

If I could invest in just one stock to generate a regular passive income stream, I'd choose this FTSE 100…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

Forecasts are down, but I see a bright future for FTSE 100 dividend stocks

Cash forecasts for UK dividend stocks are falling... time to panic! Actually, no. I reckon the future has never looked…

Read more »

Young female analyst working at her desk in the office
Investing Articles

Down 13% in April, AIM stock YouGov now looks like a top-notch bargain

YouGov is an AIM stock that has fallen into potential bargain territory. Its vast quantity of data sets it up…

Read more »

Young Asian man drinking coffee at home and looking at his phone
Investing Articles

Beating the S&P 500? I’d buy this FTSE 250 stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA

Beating the S&P 500's tricky, but Paul Summers is optimistic on this FTSE 250 stock's ability to deliver based on…

Read more »

Passive and Active: text from letters of the wooden alphabet on a green chalk board
Investing Articles

2 spectacular passive income stocks I’d feel confident going all in on

While it's true that diversification is key when it comes to safe and reliable investing, these two passive income stocks…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The easyJet share price is taking off. I think it could soar!

The easyJet share price is having a very good day. Paul Summers takes a look at the latest trading update…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

9 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

As the Rentokil share price dips on Q1 news, I ask if it’s time to buy

The Rentokil Initial share price has disappointed investors in the past 12 months. Could this be the year we get…

Read more »